From Colombia to Greenland, Prediction Markets Wager on the Next US Flashpoint After Venezuela

Following the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, debate has intensified over whether the U.S. government might replicate such action elsewhere. This week, capital continues to flow into prediction markets, where bettors are staking wagers on whether countries such as Cuba, Mexico, Colombia, Iran, and even Greenland could face similar treatment. Markets of Speculation: How … Read more

Prediction Markets Price Uncertainty as Venezuela Eyes New Leadership

Since the U.S. removed Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, prediction markets tied to the Latin American nation have attracted large flows of capital. Two specific contracts focused on who will govern the country by the end of 2026 have already recorded close to $2 million in trading volume. Prediction Markets Split on Who Will Lead Venezuela … Read more

Maduro’s Fall Turns Long-Shot Polymarket Bets Into Overnight Wins

A U.S. military operation removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro from power early Jan. 3, 2026, abruptly resolving a series of high-profile Polymarket prediction markets that had been tracking his potential exit for months. Within hours of the announcement, contracts tied to Maduro’s removal closed at full value, triggering large payouts for traders who had wagered … Read more

As US Pressure Against Venezuela Builds, Polymarket Bettors Handicap Maduro’s Exit Timing

Over the past year, tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela have heated up heading into late 2025 under President Trump, marked by U.S. maritime strikes, tanker seizures, and sanctions aimed squarely at Nicolás Maduro’s regime. Polymarket bettors say the odds of Maduro being pushed from power are ticking higher, with a 21% chance it happens … Read more

Latam Insights Encore: The Venezuelan Perfect Storm Highlights Bitcoin’s Key Use Case

Welcome to Latam Insights Encore, a deep dive into Latin America’s most relevant economic and cryptocurrency-based news from last week. In this edition, we discuss how bitcoin is being leveraged by both the opposition and the government in Venezuela, highlighting one of its most significant traits: uncensorability. Latam Insights Encore: Venezuelan Situation Shows Bitcoin’s Utility … Read more

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro Proposes Retaking the ‘Crypto Path’

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro discussed the possible future of the national cryptocurrency system following the so-called PDVSA-Crypto scheme, which resulted in the loss of $20 billion in unaccounted oil sales paid in crypto. Maduro stated that the country needed to retake the crypto path but gave no indications regarding the revival of the national cryptocurrency … Read more

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro Announces 10-Day Block of X; Signal Also Affected

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro announced that he signed a document authorizing Conatel, the telecom regulator, to block access to the X social network for 10 days. This requires its owner, Elon Musk, to present several documents before allowing it to operate again in the country. Paradoxically, using X, Maduro called for an end to “plans … Read more

Venezuela Likely to Keep Using Crypto to Bypass New Set of US Sanctions

According to Venezuelan dissidents and cryptocurrency analysts, the government of Venezuela is likely to keep using crypto to bypass the returning sanctions on oil and gold activities. Even when Nicolas Maduro’s administration seems to have been affected by corruption cases involving crypto, watchers report that these tools will keep diverting funds from regular channels. Venezuelan … Read more

Head of Venezuelan Crypto Watchdog Sunacrip Arrested on Alleged Corruption Charges; Institution to Face Restructuring

Joselit Ramirez, head of the Venezuelan cryptocurrency authority Sunacrip, was arrested on March 18, according to reports from local media. Ramirez, who led the institution from its creation in 2018, was arrested for being allegedly involved in corruption schemes, including the embezzlement of $3 billion related to unregistered oil sales. Sunacrip Boss Joselit Ramirez Arrested … Read more