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Interactive Brokers announced the launch of a unified prediction markets platform on Thursday, which integrates event contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and its own affiliate exchange, ForecastEx. IBKR Aggregates Kalshi and CME for Professional Traders The Interactive Brokers (Nasdaq: IBKR) update introduces a single interface designed to consolidate these three liquidity pools. Eligible clients can … Read more
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts. CFTC Issues Blanket No-Action Letter Cutting SDR Reporting for Event Contracts The CFTC‘s Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk jointly announced … Read more
The global community of speculators and digital currency enthusiasts is currently pouring millions of dollars into prediction markets to determine if and when bitcoin will clinch the elusive $150,000 price point. As of May 12, 2026, the prediction platform Polymarket has recorded a staggering $18,360,481 in total trading volume for its primary $150,000 target market. … Read more
The leading prediction market closed its Series F funding round, led by Coatue, to reach institutions, which are Kalshi’s next target audience. The move comes as the company reported an astounding rise in annualized volume, going from $52 billion to $178 billion over the last six months. Kalshi Closes Series F Funding Round, Reaches $22 … Read more
The prediction market sector posted $8.6 billion in taker volume during April 2026, with Kalshi overtaking Polymarket to claim the top spot, according to onchain data tracked by Dune Analytics. Key Takeaways: Kalshi posted $5.42B in April 2026 taker volume, surpassing Polymarket’s $1.99B for the first time. Polymarket collected $29.22M in April fees despite trailing … Read more
The United States Senate took decisive action on Thursday to prevent lawmakers from wagering on the very outcomes they influence by unanimously passing a resolution to ban sitting senators from participating in prediction markets. Key Takeaways: Sen. Bernie Moreno led the U.S. Senate to pass a unanimous ban on prediction market trading on April 30, … Read more
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a federal lawsuit against Wisconsin on Tuesday, directly challenging the state’s attempt to shut down prediction market platforms operating under CFTC oversight. Key Takeaways: The CFTC sued Wisconsin on April 28, 2026, defending Kalshi and Polymarket against state gambling law enforcement. Wisconsin AG Josh Kaul filed 3 … Read more
Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and likely will continue doing so well into the summer. Key Takeaways: CME Fedwatch puts a Fed hold at 99% for the April 29 FOMC meeting, … Read more
CFTC escalates prediction market fight as state challenges intensify across the U.S. The Kalshi case in Massachusetts heightens tensions, with regulators warning states they will see them in court. Key Takeaways: CFTC filing asserts exclusive authority over prediction markets, signaling federal dominance over state challenges ahead. Massachusetts case involving KalshiEx highlights conflict where state enforcement … Read more
State gambling enforcement against Kalshi is being challenged as 38 attorneys general back Massachusetts’ lawsuit. The case could shape whether states can enforce gambling licensing rules against event contracts. Key Takeaways: Coalition of 38 attorneys general supports Massachusetts lawsuit alleging Kalshi enables unlicensed sports betting activity. CFTC filing adds to the dispute as federal regulator … Read more