Wisconsin Federal Judge Hands Tribes First IGRA Win Against Kalshi Sports Bets

A federal judge in Wisconsin has found that the Ho-Chunk Nation is likely to succeed in blocking Kalshi from offering sports event contracts on tribal land under the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act (IGRA), in what appears to be the first ruling of its kind against the prediction-market operator. First Federal Court Sides With Tribes in … Read more

Will BTC Hit Six Figures? Analyzing Prediction Market Odds on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and More

The global community of speculators and digital currency enthusiasts is currently pouring millions of dollars into prediction markets to determine if and when bitcoin will clinch the elusive $150,000 price point. As of May 12, 2026, the prediction platform Polymarket has recorded a staggering $18,360,481 in total trading volume for its primary $150,000 target market. … Read more

Draftkings, Flutter Grab Market-Maker Role, Undercut Peer-to-Peer Prediction Claim

Draftkings and Flutter Entertainment have both moved into market-making on prediction-market platforms, escalating from consumer-facing products into the financial infrastructure of an industry that built its identity on peer-to-peer trading. The Q1 2026 earnings disclosures establish that the sportsbook industry’s bet on prediction markets has moved well beyond app launches. Sportsbooks Move From Prediction-Market Products … Read more

Six Months in, the AGA Exodus Has Reshaped US Gambling’s Lobbying Landscape

The American Gaming Association published its Q1 2026 Gaming Industry Outlook on May 7, the trade group’s biannual sentiment survey conducted by Oxford Economics across 26 senior gaming executives between March 23 and April 8. The headline numbers tell a confident story, but the details below suggest concerns over the growing impact of prediction markets … Read more

Crypto Prediction Markets Move Into Mainstream Finance as Institutional Interest Grows

Traditional finance firms are expanding into crypto prediction markets as event-based contracts draw deeper liquidity. Chainalysis said inflows have risen sharply since September 2024, supported by retail traders, market makers, and institutions. Traditional Finance Builds Crypto Prediction Market Rails Major exchanges and financial firms are accelerating work on crypto prediction markets as event-based contracts gain … Read more

Kalshi Hits $22 Billion Valuation After Massive $1 Billion Series F Funding Round

The leading prediction market closed its Series F funding round, led by Coatue, to reach institutions, which are Kalshi’s next target audience. The move comes as the company reported an astounding rise in annualized volume, going from $52 billion to $178 billion over the last six months. Kalshi Closes Series F Funding Round, Reaches $22 … Read more

Polymarket Odds Hit 20% for the US Government to Confirm Alien Life in 2026

The possibility of alien disclosure has risen, with Polymarket traders estimating a 20% chance for alien life to be confirmed by the U.S. government this year. Recently, reports of meetings between church pastors and intelligence officers have surged, allegedly to prepare for an upcoming reveal event. Alien Disclosure Odds Rise Among Reports Of Intelligence Meetings … Read more

Prediction Market Fight Deepens as 40 States Push Back on CFTC

A multistate coalition told the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that sports-related prediction markets should remain under state gambling oversight, arguing the contracts function as wagers rather than financial derivatives. The attorneys general said these products closely resemble traditional sportsbook wagers on winners, spreads, totals, and player statistics. States Say Sports Markets Belong Under Gambling Oversight … Read more

Prediction Market Traders Push April 2026 Volume to $8.6B, Kalshi Takes the Lead

The prediction market sector posted $8.6 billion in taker volume during April 2026, with Kalshi overtaking Polymarket to claim the top spot, according to onchain data tracked by Dune Analytics. Key Takeaways: Kalshi posted $5.42B in April 2026 taker volume, surpassing Polymarket’s $1.99B for the first time. Polymarket collected $29.22M in April fees despite trailing … Read more

Stefan Muehlbauer Warns DOJ Indictments End ‘Safe Zone’ as US Army Sergeant Case Expands Risk

According to Certik’s Stefan Muehlbauer, the recent indictment of an Army sergeant for using nonpublic information to bet on Polymarket establishes a precedent: misappropriating government or corporate data now carries the same legal weight as Wall Street securities fraud. Key Takeaways: The DOJ charged Army Sgt. Van Dyke for using classified data to net over … Read more

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