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Combined trading volume across the two largest prediction-market platforms surged 75% in June to $44.8 billion, a record for the sector, as the FIFA World Cup pulled a wave of event-contract activity onto Kalshi and Polymarket. The month tested whether prediction-market infrastructure could sustain trading around a single global event – and, by the volume … Read more
Prediction-market traders now see the withdrawal of Maine Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner as close to inevitable within weeks, after a new allegation triggered a collapse in Democratic support. Contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi rapidly repriced his exit, the seat’s partisan odds, and even his likely replacement – each in a matter of hours. How … Read more
Prediction-market traders now see the withdrawal of Maine Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner as close to inevitable within weeks, after a new allegation triggered a collapse in Democratic support. Contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi rapidly repriced his exit, the seat’s partisan odds, and even his likely replacement – each in a matter of hours. How … Read more
President Donald Trump declared himself “a big crypto guy” when asked whether bitcoin could be added to the newly launched Trump Accounts, as he rang the market opening bells from the Oval Office. A Bell-Ringing Launch and a Bitcoin Question President Trump rang the opening bells of both the New York Stock Exchange and the … Read more
Polymarket traders are pricing a one-in-three chance that the U.S. government formally cuts off public access to a major Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) model before the end of 2026, as Washington’s scrutiny of Deepseek and its peers intensifies. Washington’s Case Against Chinese Models The market, created earlier this month, asked whether the U.S. government would … Read more
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday that the United States has no choice but to lead the crypto industry, warning that China would take the lead if America stepped back. “ Crypto is the same thing,” Trump remarked, referring to comparisons with artificial intelligence. “If we didn’t do it, China would do it. It’s … Read more
Ripple joined America250’s Giving 4th campaign on July 4 with a pledge to match donations in XRP supporting the Call of Duty Endowment. The effort links Independence Day charitable giving with programs helping veterans move into civilian jobs. Why Did Ripple Join the Giving 4th Campaign? Ripple announced on July 4 its participation in Giving … Read more
Strategy’s CEO linked his family’s escape from Vietnam in 1978 to his belief that bitcoin can provide individuals with monetary freedom through transparent rules, property rights, and individual sovereignty. Why Did Strategy’s CEO Connect Bitcoin to America’s Promise? Strategy CEO Phong Le, head of Strategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, shared … Read more
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong linked crypto to mounting U.S. debt concerns, arguing the Constitution lacks safeguards like spending caps and hard-backed currency as national debt approaches $39 trillion. Coinbase CEO Says Hard-Backed Currency Is Missing From US System Crypto gained a sharper role in the fiscal debate on Wednesday after Coinbase (Nasdaq: COIN) CEO Brian … Read more
Prediction markets have pegged the United States as an overwhelming favorite to reach the World Cup’s Round of 16 when the host nation meets Bosnia and Herzegovina in Santa Clara, even as traders soured on the Americans’ odds of winning the tournament outright. How the markets see USA-Bosnia At the time of writing, the USA … Read more