Bookmarking Crypto Insights
Auto Added by WPeMatico
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts. CFTC Issues Blanket No-Action Letter Cutting SDR Reporting for Event Contracts The CFTC‘s Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk jointly announced … Read more
The global community of speculators and digital currency enthusiasts is currently pouring millions of dollars into prediction markets to determine if and when bitcoin will clinch the elusive $150,000 price point. As of May 12, 2026, the prediction platform Polymarket has recorded a staggering $18,360,481 in total trading volume for its primary $150,000 target market. … Read more
The prediction market sector posted $8.6 billion in taker volume during April 2026, with Kalshi overtaking Polymarket to claim the top spot, according to onchain data tracked by Dune Analytics. Key Takeaways: Kalshi posted $5.42B in April 2026 taker volume, surpassing Polymarket’s $1.99B for the first time. Polymarket collected $29.22M in April fees despite trailing … Read more
According to Certik’s Stefan Muehlbauer, the recent indictment of an Army sergeant for using nonpublic information to bet on Polymarket establishes a precedent: misappropriating government or corporate data now carries the same legal weight as Wall Street securities fraud. Key Takeaways: The DOJ charged Army Sgt. Van Dyke for using classified data to net over … Read more
The United States Senate took decisive action on Thursday to prevent lawmakers from wagering on the very outcomes they influence by unanimously passing a resolution to ban sitting senators from participating in prediction markets. Key Takeaways: Sen. Bernie Moreno led the U.S. Senate to pass a unanimous ban on prediction market trading on April 30, … Read more
Polymarket, the prediction marketplace giant, has officially selected blockchain surveillance firm Chainalysis to deploy a first-of-its-kind onchain solution for monitoring market integrity. Key Takeaways: Polymarket selected Chainalysis to deploy a first-of-its-kind onchain solution for monitoring trading activity. The 2024 partnership introduces bespoke anomaly models to detect insider trading patterns on public blockchains. Polymarket aims to … Read more
Polymarket is in active talks with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to remove a ban that has kept its primary blockchain-based exchange away from American traders since 2022, Bloomberg reported. Key Takeaways: Polymarket held discussions with the CFTC in recent weeks to lift its 2022 ban and bring its main exchange to U.S. … Read more
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a federal lawsuit against Wisconsin on Tuesday, directly challenging the state’s attempt to shut down prediction market platforms operating under CFTC oversight. Key Takeaways: The CFTC sued Wisconsin on April 28, 2026, defending Kalshi and Polymarket against state gambling law enforcement. Wisconsin AG Josh Kaul filed 3 … Read more
A new academic study finds that prediction market accuracy on Polymarket comes from a small group of informed traders, not the broad crowd of participants the industry typically credits. Key Takeaways: Researchers from London Business School and Yale found only 3.14% of Polymarket accounts qualify as skilled, yet generate most price discovery. Skilled Polymarket traders … Read more
Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and likely will continue doing so well into the summer. Key Takeaways: CME Fedwatch puts a Fed hold at 99% for the April 29 FOMC meeting, … Read more