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The first full week of the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) crowned three champions in Paris, while prediction market traders spread more than $558,000 in reported volume across the Polymarket and Kalshi events. Three Champions Set the Early Pace 100 Thieves defeated NRG 3-1 in the Valorant grand final, with Cryocells earning MVP honors; UNLIMIT … Read more
Across 52 distinct markets monitored by Bitcoin.com News, over $5.81 billion floods World Cup prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, shifting liquidity for traders. Prediction markets have reached unprecedented liquidity milestones during the 2026 FIFA World Cup, capturing billions of dollars in volume as digital asset traders search for alternative high-yield environments. Capital allocations across … Read more
Combined trading volume across the two largest prediction-market platforms surged 75% in June to $44.8 billion, a record for the sector, as the FIFA World Cup pulled a wave of event-contract activity onto Kalshi and Polymarket. The month tested whether prediction-market infrastructure could sustain trading around a single global event – and, by the volume … Read more
LeBron James has told the Los Angeles Lakers he will not return, and prediction market bettors are already betting big on where he lands next. The four-time NBA champion ended an eight-year run with the Lakers this month, closing out a Los Angeles chapter that began in 2018 and included a championship in the pandemic-shortened … Read more
Polymarket traders are pricing a one-in-three chance that the U.S. government formally cuts off public access to a major Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) model before the end of 2026, as Washington’s scrutiny of Deepseek and its peers intensifies. Washington’s Case Against Chinese Models The market, created earlier this month, asked whether the U.S. government would … Read more
Coinbase came under fire after an artificial intelligence (AI)-generated alert told users Norway had beaten Brazil 3-2 in a World Cup knockout match that had not yet been played. A Major Goof up Coinbase declared that Norway had defeated Brazil 3-2 with striker Erling Haaland scoring twice. The problem was that the match, scheduled for … Read more
France has emerged as the clear favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to betting activity on Polymarket and Kalshi, two prediction market platforms that have processed billions of dollars in wagers on the tournament outcome. Polymarket Traders Favor France by a Wide Margin Polymarket‘s World Cup Winner market has generated $3.9 billion … Read more
Polymarket traders are pricing only a 21% chance that bitcoin hits $70,000 before the end of July, with the coin trading near $61,600. The skepticism persists even as U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs just posted their strongest daily inflow since early May. Betting on a Bounce, Not a Breakout Prediction market traders see bitcoin recovering this … Read more
Arkham Intelligence rolled out a new skill-based rating system for Polymarket traders on Monday, shifting how the platform measures performance from profit totals to forecasting accuracy. What Elo Measures The new feature, called Prediction Market Elo, applies an Elo/MMR-style scoring system borrowed from chess rankings and competitive gaming matchmaking. It ranks traders based on how … Read more
Prediction market traders are pricing some of the most bearish bitcoin outlooks of 2026, with more than $75 million in combined volume flowing into Polymarket and Kalshi contracts that see a $50,000 floor before a $100,000 ceiling. Bearish Consensus Builds Across Platforms The largest signal comes from Kalshi, where a market asking “Will BTC hit … Read more