Bettors Bet Big on Vance and Newsom: 2028 US Election Race Heats up Before It Even Starts

Even with the 2028 election still more than three years off, prediction markets are already brimming with wagers. Currently, Polymarket participants are placing their bets on J.D. Vance to secure the Republican nomination, while Gavin Newsom is emerging as the top contender on the left. Naturally, with so much time before the big day, these … Read more

Polymarket Degens Bet on Astronomer CEO’s Divorce Following Kiss Cam Incident

A Polymarket prediction market has emerged, allowing users to wager on the potential divorces of Astronomer CEO Andy Byron and Chief People Officer Kristin Cabot. This speculation began after the two went viral on social media for their appearance at a Coldplay concert. Polymarket Bets on Possible Divorce of Astronomer CEO Polymarket is showing once … Read more

DOJ and CFTC Terminate Polymarket Investigations: Bloomberg

U.S. authorities have closed investigations into crypto-betting platform Polymarket, signaling a regulatory shift under the Trump administration. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that their probes into the prediction market are ending. The investigations, which intensified late in the Biden administration, … Read more

DOJ’s ‘Raw’ Epstein Video Was ‘Modified’ Using Adobe, Wired Investigation Finds

A Wired report suggests that the prison footage of Jeffrey Epstein may have been altered using high-end editing software created by Adobe. On top of that, both Wired journalists and independent video forensics specialists suspect the footage released by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is stitched together from a pair of separate clips. The … Read more

Bitcoin Price Prediction Bonanza: $10M Wagered on Moonshots, $200K in Sight

As bitcoin pushes into uncharted price territory, speculators are letting their imaginations run wild—just how high can the top crypto climb? Over on prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving it a 20% shot that BTC hits $130,000 before July wraps up. Prediction Market Bets Explode: $120K Leads, $200K Still in the Cards On July 11, … Read more

US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next

After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals That same evening, Trump shared that the U.S. … Read more

45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert

As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before July. Prediction Markets Gauge Israel–Iran Showdown, … Read more

Kalshi Continues to Double Down on Crypto, Adds Solana to Betting Arsenal

On Friday, Kalshi—the federally regulated prediction exchange headquartered in New York City—disclosed that it now permits solana ( SOL) deposits for account funding. Solana Lands on Kalshi Established in July 2021 under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has periodically announced its support for digital assets through a collaboration with Zero … Read more

Can Bitcoin Hit $200K This Year? Prediction Markets Weigh the Odds

On Jan. 12, 2025, bitcoin’s price has been drifting within the $95,000 range, while market participants on prediction platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are placing their bets on its future trajectory. Currently, a Polymarket wager suggests a 12% likelihood that bitcoin could climb to $120,000 by the close of the month. Kalshi and Polymarket … Read more