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Trump struck a two-week ceasefire with Iran on April 7, 2026, and within hours, blockchain analysts were asking who knew first. Key Takeaways: Trump’s April 7 ceasefire with Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices below $100 and triggering a bitcoin rally. Polymarket wallets with near-zero history turned as little as $10k into … Read more
Despite the hype surrounding massive payouts, a report by Andrey Sergeenkov reveals that 84.1% of Polymarket traders are unprofitable. The report shows that high earnings are extremely rare: only 2% have made over $1,000, and a tiny 0.033% have cleared $100,000. Key Takeaways: A new study found that 84.1% of all 2.5 million Polymarket users … Read more
A 19-year-old Canadian entrepreneur has raised $1,234,567 in pre-seed funding for Giggles, a meme-driven prediction market app that lets users bet on whether short videos will go viral. Key Takeaways: Justin Jin, 19, raised exactly $1,234,567 from crypto VC 1kx for meme prediction market app Giggles on April 7, 2026. Giggles has 450,000 waitlist sign-ups, … Read more
Fox Corporation announced a sponsored integration with Kalshi on Tuesday, adding real-time prediction market data to four of its major platforms. Key Takeaways: Fox Corporation is integrating Kalshi prediction market data across FOX News, FOX Business, FOX Weather, and FOX One starting April 7, 2026. Kalshi, which draws millions of monthly visitors with roughly 70% … Read more
By the numbers, prediction markets recorded their second-highest notional volume over a two-year period. Data compiled by Dune Analytics shows that roughly seven platforms tallied $25.7 billion in notional volume in March, with most of that activity concentrated on Polymarket and Kalshi. Key Takeaways: Dune Analytics logs $25.7B March volume; Polymarket, Kalshi dominate as activity … Read more
Polymarket announced on Monday that it is replacing bridged USDC.e with a new 1:1 USDC-backed collateral token called Polymarket USD, paired with a rebuilt order book and upgraded smart contracts under CTF Exchange V2. Key Takeaways: Polymarket launched Polymarket USD on April 6, 2026, replacing bridged USDC.e as collateral across all prediction markets. The CTF … Read more
A federal appeals court ruled Monday that New Jersey cannot use state gambling law to shut down Kalshi’s sports prediction market, handing the federally regulated platform a significant legal win. Key Takeaways: A Third Circuit appeals court ruled 2-1 on April 6, 2026, that federal law blocks New Jersey from enforcing state gambling rules against … Read more
Polymarket will become La Liga’s official prediction market partner in the U.S. and Canada, giving it exclusive rights to use the league’s and each club’s intellectual property when displaying soccer matches. La Liga becomes the first European football league to partner with Polymarket. Key Takeaways: Polymarket struck a deal with La Liga, boosting market engagement … Read more
Polymarket removed a live prediction market tied to the rescue status of a missing U.S. airman on April 3, 2026, after Rep. Seth Moulton publicly condemned it as exploitative of an active military search-and-rescue operation. Key Takeaways: Polymarket pulled a bet on a missing U.S. airman’s rescue on April 3, 2026, after Rep. Seth Moulton … Read more
A Nevada judge has extended a ban on Kalshi, ruling its event contracts are indistinguishable from illegal gambling. Key Takeaways Judge Jason Woodbury issued a preliminary injunction against Kalshi in Carson City on April 3, 2026. The Nevada Gaming Control Board successfully argued that event contracts require a state gaming license. Kalshi must implement mandatory … Read more