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While Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour explained that the company did not list markets tied to the death of any personality because it goes against U.S. regulations, users are preparing legal actions against the company over the market settlement. Kalshi Might Face Legal Action Over Iran’s Regime Change Market Settlement Kalshi, one of the largest regulated … Read more
Prediction markets are crackling with activity after the United States, in coordination with Israel, carried out major airstrikes against Iran. At present, traders are pricing in a 46% probability that the Iranian regime will fall by June 30, and following the latest strike, it emerged that several market participants pocketed gains by calling the timing … Read more
Federal regulators are emphasizing oversight expectations for prediction markets, using recent enforcement activity on KalshiEX to signal that event contract trading faces the same insider trading, fraud, and market integrity standards as traditional derivatives markets. Kalshi Cases Prompt Federal Reminder: Prediction Markets Face Traditional Market Rules Federal derivatives regulators continue to scrutinize trading activity on … Read more
The prediction market platform Kalshi had revealed that it recently banned and fined a former California gubernatorial candidate and a Mrbeast Youtube editor for insider trading. Detection and Surveillance The prediction market platform Kalshi announced Feb. 25 that it has blocked a former California gubernatorial candidate and an editor for the Youtube channel Mrbeast for … Read more
All eyes are fixed on President Trump’s next move after the Supreme Court ruled he lacked authority under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to slap sweeping “emergency” tariffs on nearly all imports. Now, prediction markets reveal bettors tossing down stacks, wagering on what comes next in this high-stakes political sequel. Markets Bet … Read more
Polymarket has acquired Dome in a bid to supercharge its developer ecosystem and tighten its grip on the fast-growing prediction markets sector. Polymarket Aims to Strengthen Tech Stack With Dome Buy On Friday, Polymarket confirmed it purchased Dome, a Y Combinator-backed startup focused on unified API infrastructure for prediction markets. Financial terms were not disclosed, … Read more
The paper, which examined several prediction markets on the platform, concluded that Kalshi, as a regulated platform, provided a valid and accurate benchmark for macroeconomic figures, surpassing surveys and forecasts by providing data not available from other sources. Kalshi Receives Praise as an Alternative to Predict Macroeconomic Variables The prediction market phenomenon is changing how … Read more
Prediction markets more than doubled the odds of confirming alien life as real after Trump directed his administration to identify and release files related to the alien and UAP phenomena. The move comes after former President Obama stated that aliens were real. Polymarket Traders React to Trump’s Call for Alien and UAP Disclosure Aliens might … Read more
Polymarket announced that it has entered an exclusive partnership with Substack to integrate real-time prediction market data directly into Substack posts and newsletters. Polymarket Expands Into Independent Media With Substack Integration Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform where users trade on the likelihood of future events, from elections to economic indicators, with prices reflecting … Read more
The opening weeks of 2026 have been nothing short of tumultuous, as millions of newly released files tied to the late and convicted sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein have unveiled vast caches of evidence and documentation. Then on Thursday, Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew, was arrested by Thames Valley Police on suspicion of misconduct … Read more