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Macquarie expects the 2026 World Cup to draw more than $50 billion in global wagers, the biggest betting event ever – a major milestone made even more important by this being the first football event of its kind to play out with regulated U.S. prediction markets and crypto sportsbooks fighting for their share of the … Read more
The CFTC has proposed its first written framework for sports event contracts, formally defining sports markets as “gaming” – then writing definitions under which virtually everything currently traded on Kalshi and its rivals stays legal. Five banned categories, one legalized industry The Commodity Futures Trading Commission released the proposed rulemaking on Wednesday, June 10, opening … Read more
Prediction market traders across Polymarket and Kalshi have committed more than $2 billion to the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market ahead of Thursday’s opening kickoff, with Spain and France sharing the frontrunner position as the tournament launches across North America. Spain and France Lead the Board On Polymarket, as of 3:30 p.m. EDT on … Read more
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war, gaming, or other restricted activities under federal law. The move replaces an approach that prior CFTC leadership had tried and failed to advance. In 2024, … Read more
ADI Predictstreet, the official prediction market partner of the FIFA World Cup 2026, has opened to U.S. traders through Fanatics Markets days before kickoff – even as questions persist over how its Gibraltar license was granted and who sits behind it. A FIFA-branded market enters a crowded U.S. field ADI Predictstreet went live on June … Read more
Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24 to 48 hours, even as the company has made no official announcement. What the Markets Are Saying As of Tuesday morning, Polymarket‘s “Claude Mythos released … Read more
Kalshi has signed a multi-year global deal making sports-data company Sportradar its official data and integrity provider, giving the prediction market official league feeds and surveillance tools as it fights state efforts to brand its contracts illegal betting. Official data, and an integrity shield The agreement gives Kalshi official data and live odds across Major … Read more
Traders on multiple prediction markets are pricing near-certainty that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates unchanged at its June 16–17 meeting, even as a new Fed Chair steps into one of the most scrutinized policy seats in the world. Warsh Takes the Chair Kevin Warsh officially leads the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for … Read more
The FIFA World Cup, expected to be one of the largest events in sports history, is already seeing huge trading volume in prediction markets as users seek to predict which team will win. Volumes for these contracts have reached nearly $2 billion in Kalshi and Polymarket. FIFA World Cup Derivatives Start Moving Billions in Prediction … Read more
Polymarket has accused its archrival Kalshi of corporate espionage, alleging in a New York Post report that the federally regulated exchange serially copied its product launches and may be watching its SoHo offices. The crypto-native platform says it opened an internal probe and kept a dossier of suspicious incidents, and even tinted its windows. Kalshi … Read more