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U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff has introduced a bill which aims to ban betting on war, terrorism and death in prediction markets. Risks of Market Manipulation and Insider Trading U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., has introduced a new bill restricting prediction markets from allowing traders to bet on war, terrorism and death. The legislation, formally titled … Read more
After President Lula proposed a ban on online betting platforms in Brazil, as the country faces a gambling epidemic, unregulated prediction markets may be hurt. Analysts agree that these platforms operate in a “gray area” as there is no specific law overseeing them. Lula’s Proposed Ban on Online Casinos Might Hurt the Incipient Prediction Market … Read more
Prediction markets tracking U.S. politics are heating up as traders wager millions on the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential race, with activity on Polymarket and Kalshi revealing how bettors think Washington’s next political chapter might unfold. Traders Rotate Bets as Democrats Lead Midterm Odds and Rubio, Newsom Rise in 2028 Race The “Balance of … Read more
Polymarket said Tuesday it has partnered with Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to build a new artificial intelligence (AI)-driven platform designed to monitor and protect the integrity of sports prediction markets. AI Meets Sports Betting Oversight as Polymarket Teams With Palantir for Integrity Tools The New York-based prediction market operator Polymarket announced the collaboration on … Read more
Customers of Clear, a brand of the XP Group, who hold an international investment account, will be able to participate in regulated prediction markets. XP is the first company to bring regulated prediction markets outside the U.S., with a focus on financial and economic events. Kalshi Partners With XP to Bring Regulated Prediction Markets to … Read more
According to a recent report, the two heavyweight prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi, are said to be chatting with prospective backers about fresh fundraising rounds. Current figures place Kalshi’s valuation near $11 billion and Polymarket’s around $9 billion, and if capital does come calling, each company is eyeing a lofty $20 billion post-money valuation. Polymarket … Read more
Traders are suing prediction market Kalshi after a controversial contract tied to Iran’s supreme leader sparked a payout dispute, igniting legal questions about how geopolitical event markets resolve outcomes and interpret rules. Traders Sue Kalshi, Claim Prediction Market Platform Uses ‘Death Carveout’ to Escape Massive Payouts Traders are challenging a prediction market platform after alleging … Read more
Prediction markets tracking the escalating Middle East conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran are humming with activity on Tuesday, as traders funnel more than $230 million into bets tied to regime change, military escalation, and diplomatic outcomes. Polymarket Traders Price 42% Chance of Iranian Regime Collapse by June 30 On Polymarket, the headline-grabbing … Read more
Senator Chris Murphy has proposed regulating prediction markets after allegations of insider trading by people close to the Trump Administration. According to Bubblemaps, six insiders profited close to $1.2 million betting on the U.S. strike on Iran just hours before it happened. Senator Chris Murphy Vows to Regulate Prediction Markets After Insider Trading Allegations The … Read more
Nasdaq is seeking SEC approval to list fixed-payout Outcome-Related Options tied to the Nasdaq-100 indexes, a move that could expand binary-style derivatives in U.S. markets under securities oversight. Nasdaq Plans Fixed-Payout Binary Outcome Contracts Across Flagship Indexes A new regulatory filing could broaden the scope of binary-style derivatives available on U.S. options markets. Nasdaq MRX … Read more