Prediction markets

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Crowd Wisdom Proves Potent: Polymarket’s Predictions Hit 95% Accuracy

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Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform based on blockchain technology, unveiled its new Accuracy Dashboard on Oct. 16, 2025, offering a transparent look at the platform’s forecasting reliability across thousands of resolved markets. Polymarket Unveils Accuracy Dashboard Highlighting 95.2% Predictive Precision The dashboard aggregates historical market data to illustrate how often Polymarket’s leading outcomes match actual … Read more

Prediction Market Bettors Go All-in on a Bitcoin Drop Under $100K

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Over the past two weeks, bitcoin has shed 12.4% against the U.S. dollar and now sits 14.9% shy of its all-time high above $126,000. Social media’s been buzzing with chatter over bitcoin’s slide, while prediction platform Polymarket shows bettors pegging a 69% chance that BTC dips below $100,000 before 2026 rolls around. Bitcoin’s October Blues … Read more

Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Controversy: Data Leak Likely Involved Web Scraping

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A conversation with one of the alleged insiders who profited from the bet hinted that the data leak may have originated from the Nobel Prize website. The site could have been scraped to recover information indicating Machado’s victory before it was announced. Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Insider Hints at Website Scraping Data Leak The surprising … Read more

Polymarket: Nobel Peace Prize Dark Horse’s Rise Sparks Insider Trading Speculation

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The rise of Maria Corina Machado, a Venezuelan opposition leader, as the leading option in Polymarket for winning the Nobel Peace Prize hours after the announcement of her victory, sparked speculation about possible information leaks and insider trading activity on social media. Maria Corina Machado Rises as Dark Horse in Nobel Peace Prize Bet Hours … Read more

Kalshi Raises $300 Million Reaching a $5 Billion Valuation as Prediction Markets Go Mainstream

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Kalshi, a blockchain-based prediction market company, has raised $300 million in a recent funding round, capitalizing on the increased popularity of these platforms. The round, which pushes Kalshi’s valuation to $5 billion, underscores the reach of these companies as they keep growing in volume and relevance. Prediction Market Company Kalshi Raises $300M at $5B Valuation … Read more

Polymarket’s Evolution: From DeFi Startup to ICE-Backed Global Platform

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Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction platform, has received a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), marking a pivotal step in merging traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized markets. Inside ICE’s Polymarket Deal: A Turning Point for Crypto Prediction Platforms Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market built on the Polygon blockchain, is entering a new phase of growth … Read more

Report: Robinhood Explores Overseas Prediction Markets Launch

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Robinhood is reportedly taking its prediction markets global, betting that the world is just as eager to wager on everything from elections to sports. Not content with just disrupting domestic investing, Robinhood is now taking its prediction markets global, according to a recent Bloomberg report. The move aims to capitalize on soaring international demand for … Read more

Kalshi and Polymarket See US Government Shutdown as a Done Deal

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Users of the largest prediction markets, Kalshi and Polymarket, consider the U.S. government shutdown a done deal. Bets open on both platforms put the probability above 78% as both parties refuse to budge. Kalshi, Polymarket Degens Bet on US Government Shutdown Event Prediction markets, including Kalshi and Polymarket, have become the center of attention when … Read more

Eric Trump Believes Bitcoin Will Reach $1 Million; Prediction Markets Say Otherwise

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Eric Trump, son of President Donald Trump, said he believes bitcoin will surpass $1 million and is extremely bullish on the cryptocurrency’s future. Prediction markets put the probability of that happening in 2025 at under 1%. Eric Trump Believes Bitcoin Will Reach Well Over $1M — Traders Say It Won’t Happen This Year While the … Read more

Polymarket Weighs $9B Valuation as Kalshi Eyes $5B, Report Says

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Polymarket and Kalshi are reportedly weighing fresh fundraising rounds at valuations of $9 billion and $5 billion, respectively, according to a new report from The Information. Technology newsletter The Information reports that both prediction market operators are entertaining new cash infusions: Polymarket has weighed an offer that could peg its valuation as high as $9 … Read more