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Prediction markets – Page 2 – DIGIT INFO

Zuckerberg Orders Meta Into Prediction Markets With New App Codenamed ‘Arena’

Mark Zuckerberg has directed a small team at Meta to build a standalone prediction markets app internally codenamed “Arena,” the New York Times reported Tuesday, citing two employees with knowledge of the plans. Meta declined to comment on the project. But according to the Times report, the Arena application is a top internal priority for … Read more

Kalshi Traders Price 80% Odds Bitcoin Stays Below $100K Through 2026

Prediction market traders on Kalshi are pricing only a 19% to 22% chance that bitcoin crosses $100,000 before January 2027, with over $10 million wagered across timing contracts tied to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index. Where the Money Is Going Bitcoin is trading near $64,600 as of Monday, June 22, 2026, sitting roughly 50% below … Read more

Polymarket Allegedly Paid Adin Ross Millions to Promote It as Insider-Trading Scrutiny Builds

A Wall Street Journal investigation reports that Polymarket struck a multimillion-dollar deal with streamer Adin Ross and promoted dozens of his videos – at least five of which laid out ways to trade on inside information. A celebrity deal under scrutiny Polymarket struck a multimillion-dollar promotional deal with the streamer Adin Ross, according to a … Read more

Polymarket Staged $900K in Fake Winnings to Court Banned US Users, WSJ Finds

Polymarket paid a network of social-media creators to stage bets and winnings on near-perfect replicas of its website, a Wall Street Journal investigation found. This was part of a campaign aimed at U.S. users; the platform is legally barred from serving. Bets that never happened Polymarket paid mostly college-age social-media creators to stage bets, and … Read more

Prediction Marketplace Kalshi Said to Be Exploring IPO Path in Informal Talks With Banks

Kalshi has opened informal talks with investment banks about a possible initial public offering, according to a report from The Information published this week. According to The Information report, the discussions are early stage. There is no S-1 filing, no banker selected and no public timeline. People close to the matter told the publication’s reporter … Read more

Prediction Markets Hit Record $10.8 Billion Week as SpaceX IPO, World Cup Drive Surge

Prediction markets set a weekly trading record as volume reached $10.8 billion, according to A16z crypto. The surge coincided with major finance, sports, and geopolitical events, with activity topping the $10 billion mark for the first time. Prediction Markets Hit a Record $10.8 Billion in Weekly Trading Volume Data from venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz’s … Read more

‘Stop Lawmakers From Predicting’: GOP Bill Targets Congress Betting on Kalshi and Polymarket

Republican Rep. Bryan Steil has introduced the Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act, a bill that would bar House members, their spouses and their children from wagering on political and policy outcomes via prediction markets. A New Line Between Lawmaking and Betting Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Wis.), chairman of the Committee on House Administration, unveiled the measure … Read more

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