Bookmarking Crypto Insights
Auto Added by WPeMatico
Prediction market traders are putting real money on where bitcoin goes next, and right now, the crowd is split between a short-term bounce and a deeper correction. Key Takeaways: Polymarket shows a 31% chance bitcoin hits $80K in April 2026, making it the most active live bracket with $3.7M in volume. Kalshi traders give bitcoin … Read more
JD Vance entered the vice presidency with a modest net positive approval rating and has since watched it fall 21 points in roughly 15 months. Key Takeaways: JD Vance’s net job approval dropped 21 points from January 2025 to April 2026, per CNN polling data. Polymarket’s 2028 presidential market hit $521.6M in volume, with Vance … Read more
Prediction market traders are placing tens of millions of dollars on bitcoin price outcomes in 2026, and the data shows a market divided between near-term caution and long-range optimism. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s April 2026 bitcoin price market has logged $11.8 million in volume, with $75,000 carrying only 54% odds. Kalshi traders put just a 2% … Read more
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a fragile truce, with over $16.5 million wagered on when or whether Washington will officially close the books on its military campaign against Tehran. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s U.S.-Iran military operations market hit $16.4M in volume, with April 30 carrying 42% odds. Kalshi gives only a 16% chance … Read more
Trump struck a two-week ceasefire with Iran on April 7, 2026, and within hours, blockchain analysts were asking who knew first. Key Takeaways: Trump’s April 7 ceasefire with Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices below $100 and triggering a bitcoin rally. Polymarket wallets with near-zero history turned as little as $10k into … Read more
Despite the hype surrounding massive payouts, a report by Andrey Sergeenkov reveals that 84.1% of Polymarket traders are unprofitable. The report shows that high earnings are extremely rare: only 2% have made over $1,000, and a tiny 0.033% have cleared $100,000. Key Takeaways: A new study found that 84.1% of all 2.5 million Polymarket users … Read more
By the numbers, prediction markets recorded their second-highest notional volume over a two-year period. Data compiled by Dune Analytics shows that roughly seven platforms tallied $25.7 billion in notional volume in March, with most of that activity concentrated on Polymarket and Kalshi. Key Takeaways: Dune Analytics logs $25.7B March volume; Polymarket, Kalshi dominate as activity … Read more
Polymarket announced on Monday that it is replacing bridged USDC.e with a new 1:1 USDC-backed collateral token called Polymarket USD, paired with a rebuilt order book and upgraded smart contracts under CTF Exchange V2. Key Takeaways: Polymarket launched Polymarket USD on April 6, 2026, replacing bridged USDC.e as collateral across all prediction markets. The CTF … Read more
Polymarket will become La Liga’s official prediction market partner in the U.S. and Canada, giving it exclusive rights to use the league’s and each club’s intellectual property when displaying soccer matches. La Liga becomes the first European football league to partner with Polymarket. Key Takeaways: Polymarket struck a deal with La Liga, boosting market engagement … Read more
Polymarket removed a live prediction market tied to the rescue status of a missing U.S. airman on April 3, 2026, after Rep. Seth Moulton publicly condemned it as exploitative of an active military search-and-rescue operation. Key Takeaways: Polymarket pulled a bet on a missing U.S. airman’s rescue on April 3, 2026, after Rep. Seth Moulton … Read more