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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a federal lawsuit against Wisconsin on Tuesday, directly challenging the state’s attempt to shut down prediction market platforms operating under CFTC oversight. Key Takeaways: The CFTC sued Wisconsin on April 28, 2026, defending Kalshi and Polymarket against state gambling law enforcement. Wisconsin AG Josh Kaul filed 3 … Read more
A new academic study finds that prediction market accuracy on Polymarket comes from a small group of informed traders, not the broad crowd of participants the industry typically credits. Key Takeaways: Researchers from London Business School and Yale found only 3.14% of Polymarket accounts qualify as skilled, yet generate most price discovery. Skilled Polymarket traders … Read more
Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and likely will continue doing so well into the summer. Key Takeaways: CME Fedwatch puts a Fed hold at 99% for the April 29 FOMC meeting, … Read more
CFTC insider trading charges against a U.S. Army service member escalate scrutiny of prediction markets. The case raises new legal and national security concerns around event contracts tied to government information. Key Takeaways: First CFTC action targets insider trading in event contracts. Insider trading charges show Army member used classified data to profit. Polymarket bets … Read more
Gannon Ken Van Dyke, who profited over $400K with bets placed on Polymarket, one of the largest event market platforms, was allegedly involved in the operation that resulted in the capture of Venezuela’s leader, Nicolas Maduro, back in January, and his wife, Cilia Flores. Key Takeaways: DOJ arrested Gannon Ken Van Dyke for making $400K … Read more
Someone may have used a hair dryer near a Paris airport weather sensor to win $34,000 on the prediction market platform Polymarket, prompting France’s national meteorological service to file a criminal complaint. Key Takeaways: Météo France filed a complaint with Roissy airport gendarmerie after two CDG sensor anomalies on April 6 and April 15 aligned … Read more
Gensyn officially launched Delphi on its mainnet on Wednesday, making it the first application to go live on the decentralized compute network and introducing real economic value to a platform that processed millions in test volume during its trial run. Key Takeaways: Gensyn launched Delphi on mainnet April 22, 2026, marking the network’s first live … Read more
Polymarket, the world’s leading prediction market platform, officially announced on Tuesday that it is expanding its product suite to include perpetual futures trading. Key Takeaways: Polymarket officially announced the launch of perpetual futures trading for crypto and stocks on April 21, 2026. The 2026 expansion into leveraged perps follows Polymarket’s CFTC approval to operate as … Read more
In a major development, Bitget Wallet has announced the integration of Polymarket directly into its wallet with more than 90 million users. This type of integration is significant in that it allows users to interact with decentralized applications off-chain without having to leave the wallet environment and move into a third-party or external site. This … Read more
Polymarket is in advanced talks to raise approximately $400 million in new funding at a post-money valuation of roughly $15 billion, according to a report published by The Information. Key Takeaways: Polymarket is reportedly in advanced talks to raise $400 million at a $15 billion valuation, per The Information. ICE has already invested over $1.6 … Read more