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A swarm of high-stakes prediction markets on Polymarket are placing Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein squarely at the center of a fresh round of speculation, just as Maxwell held a private meeting with the U.S. deputy attorney general. Markets Bet on Epstein Revelations After Ghislaine Maxwell Talks With Feds Prediction market Polymarket is buzzing this … Read more
Crypto-betting platform Polymarket is set to return to the U.S. market after federal regulators closed investigations and it struck a deal to acquire derivatives exchange QCX. The Justice Department and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that probes examining whether it improperly allowed U.S.-based traders post-2022 settlement were closed. To gain … Read more
A Polymarket prediction market has emerged, allowing users to wager on the potential divorces of Astronomer CEO Andy Byron and Chief People Officer Kristin Cabot. This speculation began after the two went viral on social media for their appearance at a Coldplay concert. Polymarket Bets on Possible Divorce of Astronomer CEO Polymarket is showing once … Read more
U.S. authorities have closed investigations into crypto-betting platform Polymarket, signaling a regulatory shift under the Trump administration. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that their probes into the prediction market are ending. The investigations, which intensified late in the Biden administration, … Read more
Polymarket data revealed a significant drop in the likelihood of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, from 52% to 11%, after it opted to target U.S. bases in Qatar instead. U.S. Warning According to Polymarket data, the odds of Iran following through on its threat to block the Strait of Hormuz before July nosedived from … Read more
After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals That same evening, Trump shared that the U.S. … Read more
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before July. Prediction Markets Gauge Israel–Iran Showdown, … Read more
Ever since tensions flared between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, markets have seesawed and social media has lit up with fiery takes on the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill.” The clash between the sitting U.S. president and the world’s wealthiest individual has also sent prediction markets into a frenzy. One wager, with $134,277 in action, pegs … Read more
Polymarket has partnered with Elon Musk’s xAI to enable data sharing between their platforms, integrating the prediction marketplace with Grok AI and X content. Grok AI to Contextualize Prediction Markets The partnership, announced on June 6, 2025, connects Polymarket’s prediction markets with xAI’s technology. Grok, xAI’s AI system, will analyze real-time posts from X to … Read more
Polymarket, a decentralized stock market for predictions, is facing a crisis moment. It has alleged governance problems that some very knowledgeable people have suggested are very SERIOUS problems — the kind of problems that could (and an SEC could) make for an unregistered securities offering. Indeed, in recent days, a $7 million bet made on … Read more
