As US Pressure Against Venezuela Builds, Polymarket Bettors Handicap Maduro’s Exit Timing

Over the past year, tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela have heated up heading into late 2025 under President Trump, marked by U.S. maritime strikes, tanker seizures, and sanctions aimed squarely at Nicolás Maduro’s regime. Polymarket bettors say the odds of Maduro being pushed from power are ticking higher, with a 21% chance it happens … Read more

Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock

Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim Most of Wall Street’s major indexes … Read more

Polymarket Betting Frenzy Erupts Over Trump’s Potential UFO File Release

Odds on Polymarket that President Trump will declassify UFO files in 2025 have rocketed upward, igniting a fresh wave of speculation about what might finally slip out of the classified vault. UFO Disclosure Hype Sends Polymarket ‘Yes’ Shares Soaring Polymarket traders are piling into the “Yes” side of a high-stakes wager: Will President Trump declassify … Read more

Prediction Market Odds: House Democrat, Senate GOP Ahead of 2026 Elections

According to the latest figures, President Donald Trump has logged 320 days of his second term, and his approval rating has slipped from the brief highs that followed his Jan. 20 inauguration. Meanwhile, prediction markets indicate Democrats are currently positioned to snag a few congressional slots, giving them a legitimate opening to reclaim a House … Read more

Polymarket Reenters US Market as New App Rolls out to Waitlisted Users

Polymarket officially reentered the U.S. on Wednesday with the rollout of its new mobile app to waitlisted users, marking its first domestic availability since 2021. Polymarket’s Mobile App Marks Its First Step Back Into the United States Polymarket announced Wednesday that its U.S. app is now live in a phased rollout, restoring American access to … Read more

Trust Wallet Adds Prediction Markets for Real-World Event Trading

Cryptocurrency wallet introduces native prediction markets feature, allowing users to trade on outcomes of global events directly within their existing wallet. Trust Wallet has launched a new Predictions feature, enabling users to trade on real-world events across categories including crypto, politics, sports, and global trends. The platform integrates with three leading event-market providers: Myriad (on … Read more

Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Assign Mixed Odds for Bitcoin’s Path Above $100K in 2025

As of Sunday, Nov. 30, 2025, bitcoin is priced at $91,482, and odds from prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi show traders expecting potential gains but keeping their expectations firmly tethered to earth. As 2025 Nears the End, Prediction Market Odds Get Firmer Bitcoin is trading at $91,482 on Sunday, Nov. 30, 2025, and prediction markets … Read more

CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds Swing as Bettors React to Fed Rifts and Patchy Data Prediction markets are sending a clear message ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Dec. 9–10 meeting: … Read more

Six-Figure Bitcoin Could Return, Yet Prediction Markets Expect a Tempered 2025 Close

Prediction markets are buzzing as traders on Polymarket and Kalshi lay down odds on where bitcoin may land through 2025, and the numbers paint a far more grounded picture than the moonshot fantasies circulating online. Prediction Markets Show Strong Odds for Bitcoin Re-Capturing Six Figures to End 2025 At 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, … Read more

Polymarket Strikes Exclusive Deal With Yahoo Finance for Prediction Market Data

Polymarket has announced an exclusive partnership with Yahoo Finance, becoming the sole provider of prediction market data on one of the world’s most-visited financial platforms. Polymarket Partners With Yahoo Finance, Strengthening Web3-TradFi Bridge Polymarket’s Nov. 12 announcement marks a major step in integrating blockchain-based prediction markets with traditional finance (TradFi). Under the agreement, Yahoo Finance … Read more