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It’s been reported that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy alerted senior Trump administration officials to security findings from his company’s internal research team, setting off a chain of events that ended with the U.S. Commerce Department ordering Anthropic to shut down its two most advanced artificial intelligence (AI) models for every customer on the planet. What … Read more
U.S. President Donald Trump declared Saturday that a landmark agreement with Iran will be signed on Sunday, June 14, with the Strait of Hormuz reopening to all shipping immediately afterward, but Iranian officials quickly disputed that timeline. What Trump Said Trump posted Saturday on Truth Social that his agreement with Iran represents the opposite of … Read more
Prediction market traders across Polymarket and Kalshi have committed more than $2 billion to the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market ahead of Thursday’s opening kickoff, with Spain and France sharing the frontrunner position as the tournament launches across North America. Spain and France Lead the Board On Polymarket, as of 3:30 p.m. EDT on … Read more
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war, gaming, or other restricted activities under federal law. The move replaces an approach that prior CFTC leadership had tried and failed to advance. In 2024, … Read more
Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24 to 48 hours, even as the company has made no official announcement. What the Markets Are Saying As of Tuesday morning, Polymarket‘s “Claude Mythos released … Read more
Traders across multiple prediction markets are pricing a significant downside move for bitcoin well ahead of any recovery toward six figures. As of 3:30 p.m. EDT on June 4, 2026, bitcoin is trading at $63,826, down roughly 2.8% on the day. The price level has become a focal point on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad markets, … Read more
A trader on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket lost about $527,000 in a single day after Strategy disclosed its first bitcoin sale since 2022, per Lookonchain. A Bet Settled by an SEC Filing A Polymarket trader identified onchain as ‘willo2’ lost around $527,000 in a day after Strategy’s bitcoin sale was made public. The wager … Read more
A Google engineer is facing federal charges after prosecutors said he used confidential search data to make more than $1.2 million on Polymarket. The case puts new scrutiny on prediction-market rules and insider trading tied to private company information. Google Search Data Case Tests Polymarket’s Market-Integrity Rules Google software engineer Michele Spagnuolo was charged with … Read more
Strategy has shifted 411 bitcoin to Coinbase Prime in its first direct exchange deposit in nearly two years, driving Polymarket’s odds of a 2026 bitcoin sale by the company to 84%. Strategy’s Move Raises Sell Fears Strategy (formerly Microstrategy), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, moved 411.48 BTC worth about $30.3 million into Coinbase Prime … Read more
Josh Stevens, VP of Engineering at Polymarket, denied reports indicating that the prediction market platform would shift to a model requiring full customer ID for its operations. Kalshi’s Head of Enforcement, Robert J. DeNault, called Polymarket to enhance its compliance policies, as insiders were “using the platform left and right.” Kalshi Criticizes Polymarket’s Compliance Policies: … Read more