Bookmarking Crypto Insights
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Kalshi has launched a demo environment for leveraged trading via a margin trading API that appears to be hidden from public navigation, as first reported by Ingame, but the demo only covers crypto perpetual futures and not the event contracts that built the platform. With real-life margin trades “coming soon,” the scope of the initial … Read more
Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market platform, has launched the first prediction markets tied to private company performance, using exclusive data from Nasdaq Private Market to resolve outcomes. Polymarket Taps Nasdaq Private Market Data to Resolve New Private Company Bets The move opens a segment of financial markets that has long been closed to most … Read more
Prediction market traders have placed more than $100 million in combined volume across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad on where bitcoin’s price lands in May 2026 and beyond, with crowd odds pointing to a market stuck below $85,000 for the near term. Traders Put $37M on Bitcoin All-Time High Milestones as $150K Odds Sit at 1% … Read more
Nine linked Polymarket accounts earned over $2.4 million with an unprecedented 98% win rate by betting on the exact timing of U.S. military operations in Iran. The Rise of Geopolitical Betting Nine linked accounts on the prediction platform Polymarket earned more than $2.4 million by wagering almost exclusively on the timing of U.S. military actions … Read more
Prediction market traders have placed more than $5.5 million in combined volume on the Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary, with challenger Ed Gallrein holding a narrow edge over seven-term incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie ahead of Tuesday’s vote. Gallrein Pulls Ahead of Massie on Polymarket and Kalshi in Kentucky House Race On Polymarket, the KY-04 … Read more
Interactive Brokers announced the launch of a unified prediction markets platform on Thursday, which integrates event contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and its own affiliate exchange, ForecastEx. IBKR Aggregates Kalshi and CME for Professional Traders The Interactive Brokers (Nasdaq: IBKR) update introduces a single interface designed to consolidate these three liquidity pools. Eligible clients can … Read more
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts. CFTC Issues Blanket No-Action Letter Cutting SDR Reporting for Event Contracts The CFTC‘s Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk jointly announced … Read more
An anonymous campaign staffer told NPR earlier this month that they and colleagues routinely placed Polymarket bets on internal polling data before public release, generating thousands of dollars per cycle. The admission marks the third Polymarket-specific insider trading pattern documented by NPR in three months and exposes a regulatory gap that federal legislation has so … Read more
A federal judge in Wisconsin has found that the Ho-Chunk Nation is likely to succeed in blocking Kalshi from offering sports event contracts on tribal land under the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act (IGRA), in what appears to be the first ruling of its kind against the prediction-market operator. First Federal Court Sides With Tribes in … Read more
The global community of speculators and digital currency enthusiasts is currently pouring millions of dollars into prediction markets to determine if and when bitcoin will clinch the elusive $150,000 price point. As of May 12, 2026, the prediction platform Polymarket has recorded a staggering $18,360,481 in total trading volume for its primary $150,000 target market. … Read more