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According to polls conducted in the mid-to-late stretch of March 2026, U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have edged lower, weighed by the Iran conflict and ongoing economic concerns. At the same time, prediction markets tied to the prospect of Trump facing impeachment before his term concludes have registered a clear increase in activity this … Read more
Washington Attorney General Nick Brown filed a civil lawsuit against prediction market platform KalshiEx LLC this week, alleging the company runs an illegal online gambling operation in violation of state law. Is Kalshi Legal in Washington State? AG Says No, Files Suit The complaint, filed in King County Superior Court, targets Kalshi‘s binary event contracts, … Read more
The Pentagon is moving tens of thousands of troops into the Middle East and drawing up contingency plans for limited ground raids inside Iran, but no U.S. forces have entered Iranian territory as of March 29, 2026, at 5 p.m. Eastern time. What Trump Is Deciding About Iran Ground Troops — And What Has Actually … Read more
Kalshi gained regulatory approval to offer margin trading after its affiliate Kinetic Markets LLC was registered as a futures commission merchant with the National Futures Association on March 24, 2026. Kalshi Margin Trading Approved The NFA filing lists Kinetic Markets as both an FCM and swap firm. Bloomberg was the first to report on the … Read more
California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order Friday barring gubernatorial appointees from using insider information to place bets on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. California Bans Gubernatorial Appointees From Betting on Prediction Markets With Non-Public Information The order takes effect immediately. It extends California’s existing conflict-of-interest statutes directly to prediction markets, which … Read more
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, fulfilling the final obligations of a structured investment program the NYSE operator announced in October 2025. ICE and Polymarket The owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), ICE, disclosed the transaction on Friday morning. The company also expects to purchase … Read more
Enlivex secures $21 million in debt financing while expanding its decentralized prediction markets treasury and authorizing a $20 million share repurchase. Enlivex Ltd. announced the completion of a $21 million debt financing (DF) agreement with The Lind Partners in Nes-Ziona, Israel. The transaction, which closed on March 23, includes notes convertible into ordinary shares at … Read more
According to a report from the New York Times (NYT), a 15-point framework aimed at resolving the conflict in the Middle East was presented to Iran, and markets have since settled following the earlier bout of volatility. At the same time, participants in prediction markets are placing bets on the likelihood of a ceasefire and … Read more
Bitgo and Susquehanna Crypto have teamed up to give institutional clients a new route into prediction markets without forcing them through retail rails or asset liquidation. Bitgo Enables $100K+ Prediction Market Trades via OTC Desk The partnership, announced Tuesday in New York and shared with Bitcoin.com News, connects Bitgo Prime’s over-the-counter (OTC) desk with liquidity … Read more
Markets have sharply repriced Federal Reserve expectations, with near-term rate hike probabilities now edging out cuts for the first time since the easing cycle began. Rate Expectations Shift Sharply as Fed Holds and Markets Reassess The shift, captured by the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank’s Market Probability Tracker, marks a notable turn from early 2026, when … Read more