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The prediction market platform Kalshi had revealed that it recently banned and fined a former California gubernatorial candidate and a Mrbeast Youtube editor for insider trading. Detection and Surveillance The prediction market platform Kalshi announced Feb. 25 that it has blocked a former California gubernatorial candidate and an editor for the Youtube channel Mrbeast for … Read more
All eyes are fixed on President Trump’s next move after the Supreme Court ruled he lacked authority under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to slap sweeping “emergency” tariffs on nearly all imports. Now, prediction markets reveal bettors tossing down stacks, wagering on what comes next in this high-stakes political sequel. Markets Bet … Read more
Polymarket has acquired Dome in a bid to supercharge its developer ecosystem and tighten its grip on the fast-growing prediction markets sector. Polymarket Aims to Strengthen Tech Stack With Dome Buy On Friday, Polymarket confirmed it purchased Dome, a Y Combinator-backed startup focused on unified API infrastructure for prediction markets. Financial terms were not disclosed, … Read more
The paper, which examined several prediction markets on the platform, concluded that Kalshi, as a regulated platform, provided a valid and accurate benchmark for macroeconomic figures, surpassing surveys and forecasts by providing data not available from other sources. Kalshi Receives Praise as an Alternative to Predict Macroeconomic Variables The prediction market phenomenon is changing how … Read more
Prediction markets more than doubled the odds of confirming alien life as real after Trump directed his administration to identify and release files related to the alien and UAP phenomena. The move comes after former President Obama stated that aliens were real. Polymarket Traders React to Trump’s Call for Alien and UAP Disclosure Aliens might … Read more
Polymarket announced that it has entered an exclusive partnership with Substack to integrate real-time prediction market data directly into Substack posts and newsletters. Polymarket Expands Into Independent Media With Substack Integration Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform where users trade on the likelihood of future events, from elections to economic indicators, with prices reflecting … Read more
The opening weeks of 2026 have been nothing short of tumultuous, as millions of newly released files tied to the late and convicted sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein have unveiled vast caches of evidence and documentation. Then on Thursday, Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew, was arrested by Thames Valley Police on suspicion of misconduct … Read more
The CFTC is escalating its defense of exclusive authority over U.S. commodity derivatives and prediction markets as legal battles threaten to redraw regulatory lines and restrict access to event contracts nationwide. Prediction Markets Challenge State Authority as Appeals Court Weighs Federal Derivatives Control Prediction markets are at the center of a growing legal dispute over … Read more
Pred, a sports prediction exchange, has raised $2.5 million in seed funding led by Accel, with participation from Coinbase Ventures (via BEF) and Reverie. The capital will be used to scale the team, deepen market liquidity, and prepare for a global launch. High-Performance Infrastructure on Base Pred, a peer-to-peer sports prediction exchange, has secured $2.5 … Read more
Recent data indicates that nearly a quarter of Draftkings’ sportsbook revenue is now being challenged by the rapid rise of federally regulated prediction market platforms. Sports Prediction Platforms Capture Growing Share of $14B Betting Market Prediction market platforms such as Kalshi have expanded rapidly into sports trading, with sports-related contracts now accounting for roughly 90% … Read more