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Markets have sharply repriced Federal Reserve expectations, with near-term rate hike probabilities now edging out cuts for the first time since the easing cycle began. Rate Expectations Shift Sharply as Fed Holds and Markets Reassess The shift, captured by the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank’s Market Probability Tracker, marks a notable turn from early 2026, when … Read more
Polymarket is launching updated rules that prohibit users from participating in their event contracts if they are trading on stolen information, on illegal tips, or if they can influence the outcome of the event, strengthening its compliance across both its DeFi platform and CFTC-regulated exchange. Polymarket Targets Insider Trading Practices With Updated Rules Polymarket, one … Read more
Congress is stepping into the fast-growing prediction market arena, aiming to draw a hard line between financial contracts and what lawmakers say looks a lot like gambling. Prediction Markets Under Fire as Senate Eyes Sports Betting Ban According to reporting from the Wall Street Journal and Sports Business Journal, U.S. Senators Adam Schiff, D-Calif., and … Read more
A cluster of newly created wallets is placing coordinated bets on an early U.S.-Iran ceasefire, igniting fresh debate over whether these prediction markets are reflecting insight or something more calculated. Middle East War Gets Interesting as Linked Wallets Chase Early Ceasefire Payout The activity comes as tensions between the United States and Iran remain elevated … Read more
Markets are leaning heavily toward a Federal Reserve pause following this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, with traders signaling little belief that policymakers will pivot under pressure at the April 29, 2026, meeting. Markets Show Little Faith in Fed Rate Cuts After March While Fed Chair Jerome Powell sits in office, until his … Read more
Major League Baseball on Thursday named blockchain-based Polymarket its official prediction market exchange partner while signing a first-of-its-kind integrity agreement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), positioning the league to embrace fast-growing fan betting trends just days before Opening Day. The multi-year deal gives Polymarket exclusive rights to use MLB and team logos, marks … Read more
Polymarket is doubling down on its real-time prediction identity with a Washington, D.C., bar launch and a fresh DeFi acquisition, even as scrutiny from U.S. lawmakers intensifies. Polymarket’s D.C. Bar Debut and Brahma Deal Signal Aggressive Growth Polymarket has unveiled “The Situation Room,” a Washington, D.C.-based bar designed around live monitoring of global events, while … Read more
Prediction markets tracking U.S. politics are heating up as traders wager millions on the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential race, with activity on Polymarket and Kalshi revealing how bettors think Washington’s next political chapter might unfold. Traders Rotate Bets as Democrats Lead Midterm Odds and Rubio, Newsom Rise in 2028 Race The “Balance of … Read more
Polymarket said Tuesday it has partnered with Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to build a new artificial intelligence (AI)-driven platform designed to monitor and protect the integrity of sports prediction markets. AI Meets Sports Betting Oversight as Polymarket Teams With Palantir for Integrity Tools The New York-based prediction market operator Polymarket announced the collaboration on … Read more
According to a recent report, the two heavyweight prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi, are said to be chatting with prospective backers about fresh fundraising rounds. Current figures place Kalshi’s valuation near $11 billion and Polymarket’s around $9 billion, and if capital does come calling, each company is eyeing a lofty $20 billion post-money valuation. Polymarket … Read more