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Ghislaine Maxwell, once a close associate of the late financier and sex-trafficking operator, Jeffrey Epstein, said she does not believe Epstein took his own life. She also stressed that she “never witnessed the president in any inappropriate setting in any way.” Prediction market Polymarket currently places the odds of her receiving a pardon from U.S. … Read more
Polymarket and Kalshi, two prominent prediction markets, have continued to record substantial trading activity into 2025, with volumes, active accounts, and market offerings reflecting ongoing participation beyond the 2024 U.S. Election. Data Shows Polymarket Volumes Remain Above Pre-Election Levels Metrics from Dune Analytics show that Polymarket, the blockchain-based predictions marketplace, has maintained activity into 2025. … Read more
This week, Ghislaine Maxwell—the convicted accomplice of disgraced sex offender Jeffrey Epstein—was quietly transferred from a Florida lockup to a low-security prison 950 miles away. Not long after, Polymarket lit up with a flurry of speculative betting action associated with Maxwell, tapping into a fresh wave of public fascination and political drama. Epstein’s Alleged Accomplice … Read more
A swarm of high-stakes prediction markets on Polymarket are placing Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein squarely at the center of a fresh round of speculation, just as Maxwell held a private meeting with the U.S. deputy attorney general. Markets Bet on Epstein Revelations After Ghislaine Maxwell Talks With Feds Prediction market Polymarket is buzzing this … Read more
Crypto-betting platform Polymarket is set to return to the U.S. market after federal regulators closed investigations and it struck a deal to acquire derivatives exchange QCX. The Justice Department and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that probes examining whether it improperly allowed U.S.-based traders post-2022 settlement were closed. To gain … Read more
A Polymarket prediction market has emerged, allowing users to wager on the potential divorces of Astronomer CEO Andy Byron and Chief People Officer Kristin Cabot. This speculation began after the two went viral on social media for their appearance at a Coldplay concert. Polymarket Bets on Possible Divorce of Astronomer CEO Polymarket is showing once … Read more
U.S. authorities have closed investigations into crypto-betting platform Polymarket, signaling a regulatory shift under the Trump administration. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that their probes into the prediction market are ending. The investigations, which intensified late in the Biden administration, … Read more
Polymarket data revealed a significant drop in the likelihood of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, from 52% to 11%, after it opted to target U.S. bases in Qatar instead. U.S. Warning According to Polymarket data, the odds of Iran following through on its threat to block the Strait of Hormuz before July nosedived from … Read more
After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals That same evening, Trump shared that the U.S. … Read more
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before July. Prediction Markets Gauge Israel–Iran Showdown, … Read more
