Crowd Wisdom Proves Potent: Polymarket’s Predictions Hit 95% Accuracy

Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform based on blockchain technology, unveiled its new Accuracy Dashboard on Oct. 16, 2025, offering a transparent look at the platform’s forecasting reliability across thousands of resolved markets. Polymarket Unveils Accuracy Dashboard Highlighting 95.2% Predictive Precision The dashboard aggregates historical market data to illustrate how often Polymarket’s leading outcomes match actual … Read more

Prediction Market Bettors Go All-in on a Bitcoin Drop Under $100K

Over the past two weeks, bitcoin has shed 12.4% against the U.S. dollar and now sits 14.9% shy of its all-time high above $126,000. Social media’s been buzzing with chatter over bitcoin’s slide, while prediction platform Polymarket shows bettors pegging a 69% chance that BTC dips below $100,000 before 2026 rolls around. Bitcoin’s October Blues … Read more

Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Controversy: Data Leak Likely Involved Web Scraping

A conversation with one of the alleged insiders who profited from the bet hinted that the data leak may have originated from the Nobel Prize website. The site could have been scraped to recover information indicating Machado’s victory before it was announced. Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Insider Hints at Website Scraping Data Leak The surprising … Read more

Polymarket: Nobel Peace Prize Dark Horse’s Rise Sparks Insider Trading Speculation

The rise of Maria Corina Machado, a Venezuelan opposition leader, as the leading option in Polymarket for winning the Nobel Peace Prize hours after the announcement of her victory, sparked speculation about possible information leaks and insider trading activity on social media. Maria Corina Machado Rises as Dark Horse in Nobel Peace Prize Bet Hours … Read more

Polymarket’s Evolution: From DeFi Startup to ICE-Backed Global Platform

Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction platform, has received a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), marking a pivotal step in merging traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized markets. Inside ICE’s Polymarket Deal: A Turning Point for Crypto Prediction Platforms Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market built on the Polygon blockchain, is entering a new phase of growth … Read more

Polymarket Founder Shayne Coplan Becomes Youngest Self‑Made Billionaire

Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan, the 26‑year‑old entrepreneur who launched the blockchain‑based prediction market in 2020, has been reported by multiple outlets as reaching billionaire status, making him one of the youngest individuals to attain that net worth through crypto and startup equity. The reports place Coplan’s rise in the context of Polymarket’s rapid growth and … Read more

Metamask Confirms Token Launch, Partners With Polymarket for In-Wallet Prediction Markets

On Wednesday, Metamask confirmed plans to launch its own token and announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket to integrate prediction markets into its platform later this year, signaling the wallet’s broader shift toward becoming a global self-custodial trading and investment hub. Polymarket Joins Metamask as Wallet Moves Toward All-in-One Trading Platform In a release shared … Read more

Polymarket Confirms $2 Billion Investment From NYSE Owner ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, also referred to as ICE, the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, has closed a deal to invest $2 billion in the crypto-based prediction market Polymarket. Intercontinental Exchange Snags Major Stake in Polymarket A Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report disclosed that “people familiar with the matter” noted the investment could value Polymarket … Read more

Fed Rate Watch: Consensus Leans Hard Toward a Quarter-Point Slice

Traders have practically written in pen a quarter-point cut, daring the U.S. Federal Reserve to prove them wrong at October’s meeting ahead. Quarter-Point Trim Leads the Board for October’s Fed Decision CME’s Fedwatch tool puts numbers to the hunch: with the target currently at 4.00% to 4.25%, the Oct. 29 path most favored is a … Read more

Polymarket Weighs $9B Valuation as Kalshi Eyes $5B, Report Says

Polymarket and Kalshi are reportedly weighing fresh fundraising rounds at valuations of $9 billion and $5 billion, respectively, according to a new report from The Information. Technology newsletter The Information reports that both prediction market operators are entertaining new cash infusions: Polymarket has weighed an offer that could peg its valuation as high as $9 … Read more