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Kalshi – Page 6 – DIGIT INFO

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Robinhood Restricts High-Risk Prediction Contracts Amid Israel Insider Trading Charges, Iran Bet Scrutiny

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Robinhood has pulled certain prediction market contracts from its platform over concerns about market manipulation and insider trading, even as the brokerage projects the fast-growing product category could generate $300 million in annual revenue. Key Takeaways: Robinhood excluded “mention markets” from its platform, citing insider trading and market manipulation risks Suspiciously timed Polymarket bets before … Read more

Arizona Temporarily Stands Down on Kalshi Prosecution as Federal Ruling Blocks Monday Arraignment

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A federal judge’s emergency order has blocked Arizona from proceeding with what would have been the first criminal arraignment of a prediction market operator in U.S. history, handing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) a decisive early victory in the escalating fight over whether states can regulate event contracts as gambling. Key Takeaways: A federal … Read more

Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Show $100K Odds at 12% for 2026, Data Reveals

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Prediction market traders are placing tens of millions of dollars on bitcoin price outcomes in 2026, and the data shows a market divided between near-term caution and long-range optimism. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s April 2026 bitcoin price market has logged $11.8 million in volume, with $75,000 carrying only 54% odds. Kalshi traders put just a 2% … Read more

Prediction Markets Put the US-Iran Ceasefire on a Short Clock

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Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a fragile truce, with over $16.5 million wagered on when or whether Washington will officially close the books on its military campaign against Tehran. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s U.S.-Iran military operations market hit $16.4M in volume, with April 30 carrying 42% odds. Kalshi gives only a 16% chance … Read more

Fox Corporation Partners With Kalshi to Add Prediction Market Data to FOX News and FOX One

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Fox Corporation announced a sponsored integration with Kalshi on Tuesday, adding real-time prediction market data to four of its major platforms. Key Takeaways: Fox Corporation is integrating Kalshi prediction market data across FOX News, FOX Business, FOX Weather, and FOX One starting April 7, 2026. Kalshi, which draws millions of monthly visitors with roughly 70% … Read more

Prediction Market Boom Continues With Polymarket and Kalshi Leading $25.7B Month

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By the numbers, prediction markets recorded their second-highest notional volume over a two-year period. Data compiled by Dune Analytics shows that roughly seven platforms tallied $25.7 billion in notional volume in March, with most of that activity concentrated on Polymarket and Kalshi. Key Takeaways: Dune Analytics logs $25.7B March volume; Polymarket, Kalshi dominate as activity … Read more

New Jersey Loses Bid to Shut Down Kalshi Sports Contracts After Federal Appeal

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A federal appeals court ruled Monday that New Jersey cannot use state gambling law to shut down Kalshi’s sports prediction market, handing the federally regulated platform a significant legal win. Key Takeaways: A Third Circuit appeals court ruled 2-1 on April 6, 2026, that federal law blocks New Jersey from enforcing state gambling rules against … Read more

Nevada Court Rules Kalshi Event Contracts Align With Gambling Laws

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A Nevada judge has extended a ban on Kalshi, ruling its event contracts are indistinguishable from illegal gambling. Key Takeaways Judge Jason Woodbury issued a preliminary injunction against Kalshi in Carson City on April 3, 2026. The Nevada Gaming Control Board successfully argued that event contracts require a state gaming license. Kalshi must implement mandatory … Read more

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts

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Markets have priced out every Federal Reserve rate cut for 2026 as a U.S.-Israel war with Iran sends oil past $110 per barrel and consumer gas prices toward $4 a gallon. Key Takeaways: Fed funds futures on CME show a 99.5% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. WTI … Read more

Kalshi and Polymarket Iran Predictions: $200M+ Bet on Conflict Outcomes in 2026

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Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have placed hundreds of millions of dollars in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran now carrying 90% odds and over $115 million in trading volume. Key Takeaways: Polymarket traders have placed $115M on U.S. forces entering Iran by Dec. 31, … Read more

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