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Nevada wants Kalshi held in contempt and fined $120,000 a day, arguing the prediction market’s home-grown geofence still lets residents buy the sports and election contracts a court ordered it to block – live World Cup markets included. A Geofence That Doesn’t Hold On June 12, the Nevada Gaming Control Board (NGCB) asked the First … Read more
Across Polymarket and Kalshi, traders have deployed more than $78 million in bitcoin price prediction bets for 2026, and the collective signal is clear: the crowd is not expecting a breakout. June Outlook: Bulls Lean on $67.5K, Bears Watch $55K On Polymarket‘s June price market, which has recorded $15.56 million in total trading volume, the … Read more
It’s been reported that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy alerted senior Trump administration officials to security findings from his company’s internal research team, setting off a chain of events that ended with the U.S. Commerce Department ordering Anthropic to shut down its two most advanced artificial intelligence (AI) models for every customer on the planet. What … Read more
Prediction market traders across Polymarket and Kalshi have committed more than $2 billion to the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market ahead of Thursday’s opening kickoff, with Spain and France sharing the frontrunner position as the tournament launches across North America. Spain and France Lead the Board On Polymarket, as of 3:30 p.m. EDT on … Read more
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war, gaming, or other restricted activities under federal law. The move replaces an approach that prior CFTC leadership had tried and failed to advance. In 2024, … Read more
Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24 to 48 hours, even as the company has made no official announcement. What the Markets Are Saying As of Tuesday morning, Polymarket‘s “Claude Mythos released … Read more
Traders across multiple prediction markets are pricing a significant downside move for bitcoin well ahead of any recovery toward six figures. As of 3:30 p.m. EDT on June 4, 2026, bitcoin is trading at $63,826, down roughly 2.8% on the day. The price level has become a focal point on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad markets, … Read more
Prediction market platform Kalshi has filed a federal lawsuit to block a first-in-the-nation Minnesota law that would make operating or advertising prediction markets a felony, escalating a nationwide fight over who regulates the fast-growing sector. Minnesota’s First-in-Nation Felony Ban Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market where users trade contracts on the outcome of real-world events, … Read more
The CFTC opened a historic path for bitcoin perpetuals to trade on U.S.-registered venues, bringing a major crypto derivatives structure under federal oversight. The move creates the first regulated pathway for spot BTC-linked perpetual contracts in the United States. CFTC Opens Historic Path for Bitcoin Perpetuals The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced on May … Read more
Josh Stevens, VP of Engineering at Polymarket, denied reports indicating that the prediction market platform would shift to a model requiring full customer ID for its operations. Kalshi’s Head of Enforcement, Robert J. DeNault, called Polymarket to enhance its compliance policies, as insiders were “using the platform left and right.” Kalshi Criticizes Polymarket’s Compliance Policies: … Read more