Bookmarking Crypto Insights
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Kalshi, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulated exchange known for its prediction markets, is reportedly preparing to launch crypto perpetual futures for the U.S. market. Key Takeaways: Kalshi plans to launch CFTC-regulated crypto perpetual futures for U.S. traders on April 21, 2026. The move targets a share of the derivatives market after Kalshi’s valuation … Read more
Prediction market traders are putting real money on where bitcoin goes next, and right now, the crowd is split between a short-term bounce and a deeper correction. Key Takeaways: Polymarket shows a 31% chance bitcoin hits $80K in April 2026, making it the most active live bracket with $3.7M in volume. Kalshi traders give bitcoin … Read more
The future of investing may hinge more on probability signals that flag market-moving events before traditional data catches up. Ark Invest’s Kalshi collaboration reflects a growing effort to build faster, forward-looking research tools. Key Takeaways: Ark Invest is using Kalshi data to sharpen event-driven research signals. Prediction markets could boost active stock picking across disruptive … Read more
JD Vance entered the vice presidency with a modest net positive approval rating and has since watched it fall 21 points in roughly 15 months. Key Takeaways: JD Vance’s net job approval dropped 21 points from January 2025 to April 2026, per CNN polling data. Polymarket’s 2028 presidential market hit $521.6M in volume, with Vance … Read more
Robinhood has pulled certain prediction market contracts from its platform over concerns about market manipulation and insider trading, even as the brokerage projects the fast-growing product category could generate $300 million in annual revenue. Key Takeaways: Robinhood excluded “mention markets” from its platform, citing insider trading and market manipulation risks Suspiciously timed Polymarket bets before … Read more
A federal judge’s emergency order has blocked Arizona from proceeding with what would have been the first criminal arraignment of a prediction market operator in U.S. history, handing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) a decisive early victory in the escalating fight over whether states can regulate event contracts as gambling. Key Takeaways: A federal … Read more
Prediction market traders are placing tens of millions of dollars on bitcoin price outcomes in 2026, and the data shows a market divided between near-term caution and long-range optimism. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s April 2026 bitcoin price market has logged $11.8 million in volume, with $75,000 carrying only 54% odds. Kalshi traders put just a 2% … Read more
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a fragile truce, with over $16.5 million wagered on when or whether Washington will officially close the books on its military campaign against Tehran. Key Takeaways: Polymarket’s U.S.-Iran military operations market hit $16.4M in volume, with April 30 carrying 42% odds. Kalshi gives only a 16% chance … Read more
Fox Corporation announced a sponsored integration with Kalshi on Tuesday, adding real-time prediction market data to four of its major platforms. Key Takeaways: Fox Corporation is integrating Kalshi prediction market data across FOX News, FOX Business, FOX Weather, and FOX One starting April 7, 2026. Kalshi, which draws millions of monthly visitors with roughly 70% … Read more
By the numbers, prediction markets recorded their second-highest notional volume over a two-year period. Data compiled by Dune Analytics shows that roughly seven platforms tallied $25.7 billion in notional volume in March, with most of that activity concentrated on Polymarket and Kalshi. Key Takeaways: Dune Analytics logs $25.7B March volume; Polymarket, Kalshi dominate as activity … Read more