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Traders on Polymarket, Myriad, and Kalshi are putting real money behind their expectations for bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2026. Across seven active contracts with over $84 million in volume, the crowd is signaling cautious optimism — with plenty of hedging along the way. Six-Figure Bitcoin Odds Rise With Time, Prediction Markets Show One of the … Read more
Super Bowl LX delivered more than a Lombardi Trophy — it delivered a stress test for America’s betting industry. As the Seattle Seahawks beat the New England Patriots 29-13, prediction markets piled up record volumes that signaled a measurable shift in how fans wager on the biggest game of the year. Traditional Sportsbooks Trail as … Read more
Jump Trading is set to acquire minority stakes in prediction‑market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket. The investments are structured around Jump’s provision of liquidity, with a fixed equity stake in Kalshi and a variable stake in Polymarket that grows with trading capacity. Strategic Market Making in Event Contracts Proprietary trading firm Jump Trading is set to … Read more
Polymarket said Monday it has filed a federal lawsuit against Massachusetts, arguing that only federal regulators—not individual states—have authority over its event-based prediction markets. Polymarket Seeks Federal Ruling to Block Massachusetts Enforcement Polymarket’s chief legal officer, Neal Kumar, disclosed the action in a post on X, saying the company is seeking to block Massachusetts from … Read more
Seattle enters Super Bowl LX as the clear favorite across a rare convergence of traditional sportsbooks and prediction markets, with pricing from Bet365, BetMGM, Draftkings, Polymarket, Kalshi, Myriad, and Crypto.com all pointing in the same direction: the Seahawks are expected to defeat the Patriots, even if the exact path there remains contested. Seahawks Hold Edge … Read more
Prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad are signaling a strong consensus that the New England Patriots will lose Super Bowl LX on Feb. 8, with pricing one day before kickoff historically among the most reliable signals these platforms produce. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad Agree: Patriots Face Long Odds on Super Bowl Sunday As of … Read more
The prediction market platform has announced an overhaul of its anti-insider training practices, enlisting the help of several high-profile executives in market integrity and surveillance. In addition, Kalshi appointed a new head of enforcement and partnered with Solidus Labs ahead of the upcoming Super Bowl. Kalshi Strengthens Anti-Insider Trading Stance Before Super Bowl Kalshi, one … Read more
Bitcoin prediction market contracts across multiple platforms are converging around a narrow price band for early 2026, with traders broadly assigning low probabilities to aggressive upside scenarios and treating six-figure outcomes as long-shot events. Prediction Markets Point to $65K as Bitcoin’s Most Likely February Outcome On Polymarket, the most actively traded contract asks what price … Read more
Two rival prediction markets took their competition offline and into the checkout aisle this month, as Polymarket and Kalshi rolled out free-grocery stunts in New York City that blended viral marketing, civic signaling, and a not-so-subtle flex at a moment when food prices — and regulatory pressure — are both uncomfortably high. Free Groceries in … Read more
As the United States enters day four of a partial federal government shutdown tied to unresolved funding for Homeland Security, prediction markets are signaling that traders expect disruption—but not a prolonged Washington standoff. Shutdown Backdrop Traders Are Pricing In The partial shutdown began at 12:01 a.m. EST on Jan. 31, after Congress failed to pass … Read more
