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Bitcoin prediction market contracts across multiple platforms are converging around a narrow price band for early 2026, with traders broadly assigning low probabilities to aggressive upside scenarios and treating six-figure outcomes as long-shot events. Prediction Markets Point to $65K as Bitcoin’s Most Likely February Outcome On Polymarket, the most actively traded contract asks what price … Read more
Two rival prediction markets took their competition offline and into the checkout aisle this month, as Polymarket and Kalshi rolled out free-grocery stunts in New York City that blended viral marketing, civic signaling, and a not-so-subtle flex at a moment when food prices — and regulatory pressure — are both uncomfortably high. Free Groceries in … Read more
Crypto.com launches OG, a CFTC‑regulated prediction market app offering sports and event contracts, with rewards for early users. OG, powered by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), announced its U.S. launch on February 3, 2026, offering consumers CFTC‑regulated sports event contracts plus financial, political, cultural and entertainment event contracts. OG is headquartered in the United … Read more
As the United States enters day four of a partial federal government shutdown tied to unresolved funding for Homeland Security, prediction markets are signaling that traders expect disruption—but not a prolonged Washington standoff. Shutdown Backdrop Traders Are Pricing In The partial shutdown began at 12:01 a.m. EST on Jan. 31, after Congress failed to pass … Read more
Amit Mahensaria, founder of PRED, argues that the sports betting industry is at a tipping point as decentralized, peer‑to‑peer platforms challenge the traditional “house always wins” model. Technical Readiness Meets Cultural Shifts For decades, the sports betting industry has operated under a cynical, century-old mathematical law: the house always wins. While centralized bookmakers have enjoyed … Read more
Coinbase has officially launched a regulated prediction markets platform across all 50 U.S. states, allowing users to trade on real-world outcomes ranging from bitcoin prices to Federal Reserve decisions and major sporting events. From Bitcoin Prices to Fed Decisions, Coinbase Opens Prediction Markets Nationwide The rollout, which went live Jan. 28, integrates event-based trading directly … Read more
Major League Soccer and Soccer United Marketing announce a multi‑year partnership with Polymarket to integrate prediction markets into fan experiences. Soccer United Marketing (SUM), the commercial arm of Major League Soccer (MLS), announces a multi‑year agreement naming Polymarket the official and exclusive prediction market partner of MLS, the MLS All‑Star Game, MLS Cup presented by … Read more
At the time of writing, gold is changing hands at $5,079.30 per ounce, while silver is trading at $113.24—levels that currently make today’s prediction market wagers look less like fringe curiosities and more like forward-looking scoreboards. Gold and Silver Prediction Markets Favor Strength, Not Moonshots Polymarket’s metals contracts offer a rare window into crowd expectations, … Read more
While BTC plunged below $87,000 on Sunday, prediction markets are flashing mixed but revealing signals for bitcoin as late January betting frames a tug-of-war between short-term caution and longer-term optimism. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad Markets Hint at Rangebound Bitcoin Prediction markets as of Jan. 25, 2026, offer a wide-angle look at where traders think bitcoin … Read more
Prediction markets posted a record-breaking week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees. Opinion and Polymarket led activity as volumes and open interest climbed across major platforms. Opinion and Polymarket Drive Record Week for Prediction Markets Prediction markets reached a new milestone last week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees, the highest weekly total … Read more