Prediction Markets Price a Short 2026 Government Shutdown

As the United States enters day four of a partial federal government shutdown tied to unresolved funding for Homeland Security, prediction markets are signaling that traders expect disruption—but not a prolonged Washington standoff. Shutdown Backdrop Traders Are Pricing In The partial shutdown began at 12:01 a.m. EST on Jan. 31, after Congress failed to pass … Read more

Polymarket’s Success Fuels Legitimacy of Onchain Prediction Markets, Says Tech Entrepreneur

Amit Mahensaria, founder of PRED, argues that the sports betting industry is at a tipping point as decentralized, peer‑to‑peer platforms challenge the traditional “house always wins” model. Technical Readiness Meets Cultural Shifts For decades, the sports betting industry has operated under a cynical, century-old mathematical law: the house always wins. While centralized bookmakers have enjoyed … Read more

Coinbase Turns Forecasting Into a Trade With New US Prediction Markets

Coinbase has officially launched a regulated prediction markets platform across all 50 U.S. states, allowing users to trade on real-world outcomes ranging from bitcoin prices to Federal Reserve decisions and major sporting events. From Bitcoin Prices to Fed Decisions, Coinbase Opens Prediction Markets Nationwide The rollout, which went live Jan. 28, integrates event-based trading directly … Read more

Major League Soccer Partners With Polymarket in Multi‑year Fan Engagement Deal

Major League Soccer and Soccer United Marketing announce a multi‑year partnership with Polymarket to integrate prediction markets into fan experiences. Soccer United Marketing (SUM), the commercial arm of Major League Soccer (MLS), announces a multi‑year agreement naming Polymarket the official and exclusive prediction market partner of MLS, the MLS All‑Star Game, MLS Cup presented by … Read more

Polymarket Traders Weigh Silver’s Ceiling and Gold’s Staying Power Into 2026

At the time of writing, gold is changing hands at $5,079.30 per ounce, while silver is trading at $113.24—levels that currently make today’s prediction market wagers look less like fringe curiosities and more like forward-looking scoreboards. Gold and Silver Prediction Markets Favor Strength, Not Moonshots Polymarket’s metals contracts offer a rare window into crowd expectations, … Read more

Prediction Markets Turn Guarded as Bitcoin Trades Below $87K

While BTC plunged below $87,000 on Sunday, prediction markets are flashing mixed but revealing signals for bitcoin as late January betting frames a tug-of-war between short-term caution and longer-term optimism. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad Markets Hint at Rangebound Bitcoin Prediction markets as of Jan. 25, 2026, offer a wide-angle look at where traders think bitcoin … Read more

Prediction Markets Hit All-Time Weekly High of Over $2.7 Million in Fees

Prediction markets posted a record-breaking week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees. Opinion and Polymarket led activity as volumes and open interest climbed across major platforms. Opinion and Polymarket Drive Record Week for Prediction Markets Prediction markets reached a new milestone last week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees, the highest weekly total … Read more

6 Distinct Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin’s $100K Path as Downside Bets Divide

Across Myriad, Kalshi, and Polymarket, prediction traders are converging on a familiar conclusion: bitcoin looks far more likely to flirt with six figures than collapse into deep drawdown territory anytime soon. The $100K-or-Bust Framing Takes Hold On Myriad, the market bluntly titled “ Bitcoin’s next move: Pump to $100K or Dump to $69K?” shows traders … Read more

Weekly Prediction Market Volume Skyrockets as Several Competitors Square Off

In the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional volume cleared $5.3 billion, and the opening week of 2026 pulled the same trick—once again topping $5 billion and etching fresh records into the sector’s ledger. Prediction Markets Gain Serious Attention Prediction markets have been stealing the spotlight lately, and data compiled by Dune Analytics … Read more

A16z Reveals Three Crypto Predictions for 2026

Venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz (A16z) has unveiled three predictions on how it sees crypto going “beyond crypto” this year. $45 Billion VC Giant Eyeing Developments in Prediction Markets, Media, and the Potential for a Completely New Crypto Primitive In a blog post, A16z analysts released three crypto predictions, the first of which is that … Read more