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The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, … Read more
On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory, edging out Harris, who currently sits at 46%. Polymarket and Several Other Betting Platforms … Read more
Based on Polymarket odds, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a 2024 independent presidential candidate, has a 81% probability of exiting the race after his running mate, Nicole Shanahan, hinted that their campaign might align with former President Donald Trump. On Tuesday, the odds of Kennedy withdrawing peaked to it’s highest point yet. RFK Jr.’s Campaign Faces … Read more
In a twist of political fortunes, Vice President Kamala Harris, who had been leading in the race against former President Donald Trump for the 2024 election, saw her odds dip significantly after rolling out her economic plans. Over the past 72 hours on Polymarket, her chances have taken a hit, dropping four percentage points, while … Read more
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors are even more confident, showing an 82% chance of … Read more
Polymarket, the leading blockchain-powered predictions platform, saw its highest monthly volume to date in July. However, August has so far captured just over 68% of July’s total volume, with 13 days still remaining in the month. Polymarket’s August Performance Signals Potential for Record-Breaking Month According to data from theblock.co, August is shaping up to be … Read more
Recently, Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO), officially declared that the Mpox outbreak, commonly known as monkeypox, is now a public health emergency of international concern. Following this announcement, Polymarket users have started placing bets on whether Mpox will be categorized as a pandemic in 2024. Polymarket Bettors Give … Read more
On Aug. 12, 2024, the startup behind Perplexity, an AI-driven search engine and chatbot, revealed a new partnership with Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions market. With this integration, users searching for events on Perplexity will now find news summaries accompanied by real-time probability forecasts sourced directly from Polymarket. Perplexity and Polymarket Unite The AI-focused search engine … Read more
Welcome to Latam Insights, a compendium of Latin America’s most relevant crypto and economic news from the last week. In this issue: El Salvador holds talks with the IMF despite its Bitcoin allegiance; Brazil greenlights the first Solana spot ETF; and Polymarket gets criticized for its decision on the Venezuelan presidential election bet. El Salvador … Read more
Gemini co-founder Cameron Winklevoss believes that cryptocurrency prediction platforms offer a level of integrity that other platforms can’t match. Go to Source
