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The Pentagon is moving tens of thousands of troops into the Middle East and drawing up contingency plans for limited ground raids inside Iran, but no U.S. forces have entered Iranian territory as of March 29, 2026, at 5 p.m. Eastern time. What Trump Is Deciding About Iran Ground Troops — And What Has Actually … Read more
California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order Friday barring gubernatorial appointees from using insider information to place bets on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. California Bans Gubernatorial Appointees From Betting on Prediction Markets With Non-Public Information The order takes effect immediately. It extends California’s existing conflict-of-interest statutes directly to prediction markets, which … Read more
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, fulfilling the final obligations of a structured investment program the NYSE operator announced in October 2025. ICE and Polymarket The owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), ICE, disclosed the transaction on Friday morning. The company also expects to purchase … Read more
According to a report from the New York Times (NYT), a 15-point framework aimed at resolving the conflict in the Middle East was presented to Iran, and markets have since settled following the earlier bout of volatility. At the same time, participants in prediction markets are placing bets on the likelihood of a ceasefire and … Read more
Gate has integrated Polymarket into its app, becoming the first centralized exchange to offer direct access to the prediction market platform. The rollout gives users a new way to trade on global events across crypto, finance, and sports. Prediction Markets Now Open to Mainstream Traders Via Gate Gate has added Polymarket to its platform, potentially … Read more
Markets have sharply repriced Federal Reserve expectations, with near-term rate hike probabilities now edging out cuts for the first time since the easing cycle began. Rate Expectations Shift Sharply as Fed Holds and Markets Reassess The shift, captured by the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank’s Market Probability Tracker, marks a notable turn from early 2026, when … Read more
Polymarket is launching updated rules that prohibit users from participating in their event contracts if they are trading on stolen information, on illegal tips, or if they can influence the outcome of the event, strengthening its compliance across both its DeFi platform and CFTC-regulated exchange. Polymarket Targets Insider Trading Practices With Updated Rules Polymarket, one … Read more
Congress is stepping into the fast-growing prediction market arena, aiming to draw a hard line between financial contracts and what lawmakers say looks a lot like gambling. Prediction Markets Under Fire as Senate Eyes Sports Betting Ban According to reporting from the Wall Street Journal and Sports Business Journal, U.S. Senators Adam Schiff, D-Calif., and … Read more
A cluster of newly created wallets is placing coordinated bets on an early U.S.-Iran ceasefire, igniting fresh debate over whether these prediction markets are reflecting insight or something more calculated. Middle East War Gets Interesting as Linked Wallets Chase Early Ceasefire Payout The activity comes as tensions between the United States and Iran remain elevated … Read more
Markets are leaning heavily toward a Federal Reserve pause following this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, with traders signaling little belief that policymakers will pivot under pressure at the April 29, 2026, meeting. Markets Show Little Faith in Fed Rate Cuts After March While Fed Chair Jerome Powell sits in office, until his … Read more