Kamala Harris leading in 4 of 6 swing states on Polymarket
According to the current Polymarket odds, 77% of participants believe Vice President Kamala Harris is favored to win the popular vote. Go to Source
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Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears
With only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%, with Trump close on her heels at 47%. Harris Tops Trump in Polls and Prediction Markets as Countdown … Read more
CFTC eyeing Polymarket, betting platforms amid elections, says chair
If an offshore entity’s “footprint” in the US is big enough, they must register their derivative contracts or risk facing enforcement actions, says CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam. Go to Source
CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?
As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market … Read more
‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC
The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable to “spectacular manipulation.” Go to Source
Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC
The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger Rate Cut as Expectations Shift … Read more
Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election
Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his family’s decentralized finance (defi) platform, World Liberty Financial, boldly claiming the initiative is “embracing the future with crypto.” Meanwhile, over on Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions platform, a new bet has emerged. People are now speculating on the chances of Trump launching a cryptocurrency … Read more
Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability
With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market … Read more
Will Trump and Harris Debate Again? Polymarket Bets Say There’s a 60% Chance
According to Polymarket’s betting odds, there’s a 60% chance we’ll see another debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, even though no additional debates are currently scheduled beyond the one held on Sept. 10, 2024. Bettors Place Their Bets on a Second Trump-Harris Debate Polymarket, a blockchain-driven prediction platform, has people … Read more
Trump and Harris Neck and Neck After Heated Debate, Polymarket Shows
Following the heated debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, Polymarket data revealed an intense tie between the two from 6 a.m. to 12 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, with each holding a 49% chance of winning. By 2:30 p.m., however, Trump edged ahead by a single percentage point, according to bettors … Read more