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On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which … Read more
The blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket saw an additional $85.84 million in trading volume during August, marking a notable uptick from July. August’s volume of $472.87 million set a new high, surpassing every month since Polymarket’s inception. Polymarket Volume Soars in August While some sectors faltered in August, Polymarket thrived, setting new records with $472.87 million … Read more
After a 40-day interview hiatus, Vice President Kamala Harris has finally given her first Q&A session since President Joe Biden announced he won’t seek re-election in 2024. According to Polymarket’s election betting odds, former President Donald Trump is currently edging ahead, leading by a modest 1 percentage point. At the moment, Trump holds a 50% … Read more
The move signals the crypto betting market’s growing importance. Go to Source
PYUSD competes with rivals such as Circle’s USDC and Tether’s USDT. Go to Source
According to the blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving Telegram founder Pavel Durov a 36% chance of being released this month. Durov was taken into custody by French judicial police at Le Bourget airport in France, facing allegations related to facilitating crimes such as fraud, terrorism, and drug trafficking. Polymarket’s $200K Gamble: Will Durov … Read more
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, … Read more
On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory, edging out Harris, who currently sits at 46%. Polymarket and Several Other Betting Platforms … Read more
Based on Polymarket odds, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a 2024 independent presidential candidate, has a 81% probability of exiting the race after his running mate, Nicole Shanahan, hinted that their campaign might align with former President Donald Trump. On Tuesday, the odds of Kennedy withdrawing peaked to it’s highest point yet. RFK Jr.’s Campaign Faces … Read more
In a twist of political fortunes, Vice President Kamala Harris, who had been leading in the race against former President Donald Trump for the 2024 election, saw her odds dip significantly after rolling out her economic plans. Over the past 72 hours on Polymarket, her chances have taken a hit, dropping four percentage points, while … Read more
