Markets Are Telling Us Something About the US Election

This editorial is from last week’s edition of the newsletter Week in Review. Subscribe to the weekly newsletter to get the editorial the second it’s finished. Polymarket, Traditional Markets, and Crypto Markets Are Predicting a Trump Victory A widely circulated sentiment for the past week on CT and Fintwit is that markets are positioning for … Read more

Trump Takes Commanding Lead Over Harris on Prediction Markets After McDonald’s Appearance 

Former President Donald Trump reached a new high on the predictions market Polymarket on Monday rising to 62.6% while his competitor Vice President Kamala Harris now stands with a 37.5% lead. The news follows Trump joining the team at a McDonald’s in Feasterville-Trevose, Bucks County, Pennsylvania. Trump’s Strong Lead Surges Ahead of Harris as Election … Read more

Polymarket Election Buzz: Why Trump’s Lead Is Stirring Skeptics and Memes Alike

Following former President Donald Trump gaining a dominant lead in his odds against Vice President Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, as tracked by Polymarket bettors, a group of skeptics suspects the odds are being skewed by large-scale gamblers, often called “whales.” On the flip side, others find these manipulation theories unconvincing, urging doubters to … Read more

Trump Refers to Polymarket as ‘Poly-Poll’: ‘We’re Doing Really Well’

Presidential candidate Donald Trump recently acknowledged the existence of the crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket. In a video posted on Polymarket’s X account, Trump referred to the platform as “a new phenomenon gambling poll,” mistakenly calling it Poly-Poll.” “I’ve never heard of it,” Trump stated, while someone in the audience corrected him about the platform’s … Read more

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