Prediction Markets Turn Guarded as Bitcoin Trades Below $87K

While BTC plunged below $87,000 on Sunday, prediction markets are flashing mixed but revealing signals for bitcoin as late January betting frames a tug-of-war between short-term caution and longer-term optimism. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad Markets Hint at Rangebound Bitcoin Prediction markets as of Jan. 25, 2026, offer a wide-angle look at where traders think bitcoin … Read more

6 Distinct Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin’s $100K Path as Downside Bets Divide

Across Myriad, Kalshi, and Polymarket, prediction traders are converging on a familiar conclusion: bitcoin looks far more likely to flirt with six figures than collapse into deep drawdown territory anytime soon. The $100K-or-Bust Framing Takes Hold On Myriad, the market bluntly titled “ Bitcoin’s next move: Pump to $100K or Dump to $69K?” shows traders … Read more

Prediction Market Data Shows Waning Confidence in January Bitcoin Breakout

Bitcoin dipped to an intraday low of $89,343 on Thursday, Jan. 8, before stabilizing just above $90,000 by 11:25 a.m. EST, as prediction markets collectively pared back expectations for a six-figure January move. $100K Still Possible, but January Odds Are Sliding Across major prediction platforms, traders have been steadily dialing down the odds that bitcoin … Read more

Prediction Markets Had Their Breakout Year in 2025 — and There Was No Going Back

In 2025, prediction markets stopped acting like a sideshow and started behaving like a real financial category. Prediction Markets Go Mainstream What began as a niche experiment in forecasting elections and sports quietly evolved into a multibillion-dollar ecosystem touching Wall Street, media giants, professional sports, and crypto infrastructure. From regulatory victories and courtroom battles to … Read more

Draftkings Taps CFTC Framework to Launch Predictions Marketplace App

On Friday, Draftkings launched a standalone predictions app regulated under federal commodities law, formally entering the growing U.S. prediction markets sector and expanding beyond traditional sports betting into event-based contract trading. Draftkings Brings Event Contracts to U.S. Users via New Predictions Platform Draftkings announced the debut of Draftkings Predictions on Dec. 19, introducing a mobile … Read more

Rip Higher or Roll Over? Prediction Market Wagers Suggest a Slower Climb Ahead for Bitcoin

With bitcoin off 5.5% for the month of December on a returns basis, plenty of eyes are squinting at the chart and asking what comes next. To size things up, we leaned into the wisdom of the crowd and peeked at what today’s most active prediction markets are betting on. Myriad Bettors Still Favor $100K, … Read more