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Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim its benchmark. December 25bps Cut Now Dominant Market Bet Ahead of Fed Meeting Prediction platforms are now lighting up with overwhelming confidence in a 25-basis-point … Read more
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran Pushes for Big Fed Rate Cuts Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said Tuesday that the U.S. economy requires “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business … Read more
Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds Swing as Bettors React to Fed Rifts and Patchy Data Prediction markets are sending a clear message ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Dec. 9–10 meeting: … Read more
The Federal Reserve’s December policy decision is shaping up as a battle between officials worried about inflation’s persistence and those focused on weakening employment and demand. Traders Bet on Rate Cut Despite Fed’s Growing Divide Over Inflation According to the CME Fedwatch Tool, traders now assign a 65.4% probability that the central bank will lower … Read more
On the eve of the Federal Reserve’s big day, prediction markets and futures are practically winking at traders—betting on a quarter-point rate cut. Analysts and crypto watchers alike are bracing for what could be a double shot of caffeine for both bitcoin and U.S. equities if Jerome Powell’s crew keeps trimming rates through 2025. Markets … Read more
Traders have practically written in pen a quarter-point cut, daring the U.S. Federal Reserve to prove them wrong at October’s meeting ahead. Quarter-Point Trim Leads the Board for October’s Fed Decision CME’s Fedwatch tool puts numbers to the hunch: with the target currently at 4.00% to 4.25%, the Oct. 29 path most favored is a … Read more
The Federal Reserve finally trimmed rates—and bitcoin basically yawned, according to Coinshares’ Head of Research James Butterfill, who says traders want proof this is a real pivot, not a polite tap on the brakes. Butterfill: Rate Cut Hype Fades; Bitcoin Waits for Real Pivot Signal Bitcoin (BTC) has treaded water for three months while volatility … Read more
The curious chart introduced by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2012 shows that the Fed’s top brass expects several more interest‑rate cuts over the next two years. Fed Signals Sustained Rate Cuts Through 2027 Wednesday’s interest rate reduction by the U.S. Federal Reserve didn’t raise any eyebrows, but a quick review of the so-called Fed … Read more
The Fed is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut today, Sept. 17, marking the start of its easing cycle. While risk assets could benefit, crypto has lagged equities and may remain under pressure even as liquidity conditions improve. Powell’s Guidance in Focus as Fed Set to Kick Off Easing Cycle The Federal Reserve is … Read more
According to the CME Fedwatch tool and prediction markets, traders are betting the U.S. Federal Reserve will trim rates tomorrow when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gathers. On top of that, Stephen Miran, a key economic adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump, snagged Senate confirmation on Sept. 15, 2025, to join the Federal Reserve’s … Read more
