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Payments in national currencies among Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) members have reportedly increased from 40% in 2022 to 92%, signaling a move away from reliance on the U.S. dollar. Similar to the BRICS economic bloc, the SCO, which includes Russia, China, India, and recently added Iran, is encouraging the use of local currencies to strengthen … Read more
Bank Indonesia, the Bank of Korea, and South Korea’s Ministry of Economy and Finance have introduced a local currency transaction framework to boost bilateral trade using the rupiah and won. This initiative aims to reduce exchange rate risk and improve transaction efficiency by facilitating direct currency transactions between the two nations, bypassing the need for … Read more
UBS predicts further depreciation of the U.S. dollar due to narrowing interest rate differentials, ongoing U.S. fiscal deficit concerns, and a shift in global central bank strategies. Despite a brief rally, UBS has downgraded the U.S. dollar to its Least Preferred status, while upgrading the euro, British pound, and Australian dollar. UBS Forecasts Continued Weakening … Read more
JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou has discussed recent changes in the U.S. M2 money supply, noting a temporary rebound following a decline in April. He expects U.S. liquidity to contract again, similar to 2022, influenced by the Fed’s ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) and slower bank loan growth. JPMorgan Strategist Foresees U.S. Liquidity Contraction Ahead Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, … Read more
As the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gears up for its meeting on Sept. 18, anticipation is building for a rate cut. Market participants are placing their bets, with expectations leaning toward either a 25 basis points (bps) reduction or a 50bps cut. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is urging the Fed … Read more
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, … Read more
Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has cautioned about the U.S. dollar index falling substantially, “triggering a U.S. dollar crisis, crashing the economy, and sending consumer prices and long-term interest rates soaring.” Schiff further warned of higher inflation and stagflation, impacting consumer prices and interest rates. He criticized the Federal Reserve’s current strategies, cautioning against … Read more
Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has warned that the U.S. is adding a trillion dollars to its debt every 100 days. He advises investing in gold, silver, and bitcoin to safeguard against economic instability. Kiyosaki also points out the dangers of relying on traditional banks, noting that banking panics are often … Read more
Thomas Joseph Webster, Professor Emeritus of Economics at Pace University, challenges the long-held belief in the Federal Reserve’s political independence in his comprehensive report, “The Myth of Fed Political Independence.” Webster’s research scrutinizes the relationship between fiscal and monetary policies, arguing that the Federal Reserve operates more as a political tool than an independent entity. … Read more
China and Russia solidified their cooperation in currency, finance, and within the BRICS framework following a meeting between Chinese Premier Li Qiang and Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. They committed to local currency use, payment infrastructure, and mutual investments, while also advancing collaboration in artificial intelligence, sustainable development, and global governance. China and Russia Strengthen … Read more