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The payment flow between China and Russia is being disrupted once again due to the enactment of a new package of sanctions that includes 46 Chinese companies allegedly assisting the Russian war effort. This has affected imports of dual-use products, which can be used for both military and civilian purposes, as well as other merchandise. … Read more
Socialism, despite its promises of equality and social welfare, inherently fails due to its inability to perform economic calculation and its reliance on coercive control over the means of production. Ludwig von Mises, in his seminal work “Socialism: An Economic and Sociological Analysis,” provides a comprehensive critique of socialism’s flaws rooted in both economic and … Read more
In recent times, Elon Musk, the owner of X and the CEO and product architect at Tesla, Inc., has been voicing his concerns about inflation. This discussion became especially prominent after he interviewed former U.S. President Donald Trump. Just two days ago, Musk took to X, declaring that the United States is “in the fast … Read more
Payments in national currencies among Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) members have reportedly increased from 40% in 2022 to 92%, signaling a move away from reliance on the U.S. dollar. Similar to the BRICS economic bloc, the SCO, which includes Russia, China, India, and recently added Iran, is encouraging the use of local currencies to strengthen … Read more
Bank Indonesia, the Bank of Korea, and South Korea’s Ministry of Economy and Finance have introduced a local currency transaction framework to boost bilateral trade using the rupiah and won. This initiative aims to reduce exchange rate risk and improve transaction efficiency by facilitating direct currency transactions between the two nations, bypassing the need for … Read more
UBS predicts further depreciation of the U.S. dollar due to narrowing interest rate differentials, ongoing U.S. fiscal deficit concerns, and a shift in global central bank strategies. Despite a brief rally, UBS has downgraded the U.S. dollar to its Least Preferred status, while upgrading the euro, British pound, and Australian dollar. UBS Forecasts Continued Weakening … Read more
JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou has discussed recent changes in the U.S. M2 money supply, noting a temporary rebound following a decline in April. He expects U.S. liquidity to contract again, similar to 2022, influenced by the Fed’s ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) and slower bank loan growth. JPMorgan Strategist Foresees U.S. Liquidity Contraction Ahead Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, … Read more
As the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gears up for its meeting on Sept. 18, anticipation is building for a rate cut. Market participants are placing their bets, with expectations leaning toward either a 25 basis points (bps) reduction or a 50bps cut. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is urging the Fed … Read more
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, … Read more
Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has cautioned about the U.S. dollar index falling substantially, “triggering a U.S. dollar crisis, crashing the economy, and sending consumer prices and long-term interest rates soaring.” Schiff further warned of higher inflation and stagflation, impacting consumer prices and interest rates. He criticized the Federal Reserve’s current strategies, cautioning against … Read more