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Johns Hopkins economist Steve Hanke says the United States is losing the Iran war, is functionally insolvent, and has handed Tehran the leverage to dictate terms, all while Washington spins the numbers. Steve Hanke: Bond Vigilantes Are Turning on Trump as War Costs Mount, and Deficits Expand Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns … Read more
Saudi Arabia’s Petroline, the 1,200-kilometer crude pipeline connecting its eastern oil fields to the Red Sea, is now moving oil at its maximum rated capacity of 7 million barrels per day, offering a partial workaround to a Strait of Hormuz blockade that has cut normal traffic by an estimated 90 to 95%. Hormuz Crisis Week … Read more
Iran formally rejected a U.S.-brokered 15-point ceasefire proposal this week, pushing Brent crude above $108 per barrel and triggering a broad selloff across global equity markets. Hormuz Crisis Deepens: Iran Rejects Peace Plan, Crude Oil Climbs Tehran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, dismissed the plan as “one-sided” and “maximalist,” calling U.S. claims of productive negotiations “fake … Read more
U.S. markets sold off sharply on Thursday as escalating U.S.-Iran tensions sent oil prices higher and pushed investors away from equities, crypto, and even gold. Wall Street Loses $1 Trillion in Single Session The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.01% to close at 45,960.11. The S&P 500 dropped 1.74% to 6,477.16. The Nasdaq Composite led … Read more
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 4.4% this week, its highest level in eight months, before retreating to around 4.32% Wednesday as reports of potential de-escalation in the Middle East eased investor nerves. Bond Market Selloff Pushes 10-Year Yield The move reflected a sharp repricing of inflation and fiscal risk. Bond prices fell as … Read more
According to a report from the New York Times (NYT), a 15-point framework aimed at resolving the conflict in the Middle East was presented to Iran, and markets have since settled following the earlier bout of volatility. At the same time, participants in prediction markets are placing bets on the likelihood of a ceasefire and … Read more
Sources claim Iran is quietly charging select vessels up to $2 million for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, turning a wartime chokepoint into a pay-to-play corridor. $2 Million Toll? Sources Say Iran Is Quietly Monetizing Strait of Hormuz Access Iran has ostensibly begun extracting transit fees from some commercial ships moving through the … Read more
U.S. President Donald Trump signaled the Strait of Hormuz could reopen under potential joint control with Iran as he delayed planned strikes, easing immediate pressure on global energy markets. Strait of Hormuz Update: Trump Delays Strikes, Suggests Shared Control The comments arrive as the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran enters its fourth week, with the … Read more
Brent and WTI oil futures prices have plummeted over 10% on Monday as President Trump announced a ceasefire, as communications between the Iranian regime and the U.S. government have been progressing. Even so, Iranian media channels denied this approximation, claiming that Trump “backed down.” Oil prices plummet as Trump announces 5-Day Ceasefire Prices of the … Read more
Gerald Celente says markets are sending mixed signals as geopolitical stress builds, warning that war, debt, and policy distortions are masking deeper economic fractures. AI Bubble, War Risks, and Market Signals Clash, Celente Says Global markets are exhibiting an unusual divide, and Gerald Celente contends the behavior is far from ordinary. A veteran trends forecaster … Read more