Majority of Americans Believe US in Recession, Survey Shows

New research by Affirm reveals three in five Americans believe the U.S. is in a recession, though it’s not officially declared. A survey of 2,000 people shows inflation and rising living costs (68%) as the main reasons for this belief, followed by complaints from friends and family (50%), reduced spending by peers (36%), and difficulties … Read more

Latam Insights Encore: Bukele Pushes Controversial Substitution of National Products Policy To Fight Inflation, Offers Free Coffee on Top

Welcome To Latam Insights Encore, a deep view of Latin America’s most relevant economic and cryptocurrency-based news last week. In this edition, we discuss the import duties exemption measure President Nayib Bukele pushed for and passed in Congress and its possible effects on El Salvador. Bukele Passes Import Duties Exemption Bill for a Decade in … Read more

ECB Maintains Interest Rates Amid Persistent Inflation Concerns

The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained its interest rates on Thursday, indicating that domestic price pressures and elevated inflation levels will persist into next year. After a recent rate cut, the ECB adopted a cautious stance, suggesting more evidence is needed before making another move. The ECB highlighted that while corporate profits are mitigating some … Read more

US Inflation Eases With 0.1% Drop in June; Biden Faces Gas Reserve Accusations

The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.1% in June. The decline, primarily due to reduced gasoline prices, brought the annual inflation rate to its lowest in over three years. This news comes after U.S. President Joe Biden was accused of tapping into gasoline reserves ahead of the election to gain favor with voters. … Read more

Citi Analysts Predict 8 Weeks of Fed Rate Cuts Starting in September, Powell Seeks Evidence

Analysts from Citi, the American multinational investment bank and financial services corporation, predict the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin reducing rates by September, totaling a 200 basis points (bps) cut over the next eight Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated on Tuesday that additional progress is required before … Read more

Economist Highlights Possible ‘Hidden Recession’: Official Figures May Understate Inflation Impact

In a recent editorial, economist Peter St Onge explores the potential of a hidden economic recession, suggesting that official figures might not reveal the full extent of the decline. St Onge raises concerns about the accuracy of U.S. inflation data and its implications for measuring true economic growth. Peter St Onge, Official Figures May Understate … Read more

Fed’s Minutes Report Cites High Inflation and Economic Risks in Decision to Hold Rates

According to the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the choice to maintain the federal funds rate in its current range was driven by concerns about ongoing inflation and economic instability. Economic Instability and Inflation Keep Fed Rates Steady At the June 11-12 meeting, the FOMC highlighted that although inflation has … Read more