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After the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed the benchmark interest rate last week, attention now shifts to the Jan. 28, 2026, meeting, where current odds suggest the central bank is poised to leave the target rate exactly where it is. A Few Days Following the Last Cut, Traders Price in a January Fed Pause When it … Read more
The Federal Reserve may not want to call it a pivot, but macro analyst Lyn Alden says the central bank’s subtle shift hints at something bigger: liquidity is quietly creeping back into the system, even as parts of the U.S. economy lose altitude. QT Is Over, Liquidity Creeps Back, and Markets Aren’t Ready, Alden Says … Read more
Crypto markets look stable on the surface, but traders remain uneasy as the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan (BOJ) line up back-to-back risk events. Crypto is quiet for now, though the stability feels temporary. Markets Steady as Traders Brace for FOMC and BOJ Some days feel too quiet, like the market is holding its … Read more
The central bank lowered its target rate on Wednesday afternoon in what some are describing as a “hawkish cut.” Interest Rates Drop: What’s Next for Bitcoin? Even before Fed Chairman Jerome Powell took the stage on Wednesday afternoon, the verdict was already in; a cut was on the way. At least that’s what the CME … Read more
The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by a quarter point on Dec. 10, 2025, matching what CME futures, Polymarket, and Kalshi bettors had been signaling for weeks. The U.S. central bank’s widely anticipated move drops the target range to 3.5%–3.75%, a shift officials tied to evolving risks across the economy and persistent uncertainty … Read more
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim Most of Wall Street’s major indexes … Read more
Bitcoin has stabilized in the mid-$90K range following a sharp rebound from recent lows, but sentiment remains tense as markets await next week’s low-visibility FOMC meeting. With major Fed leadership changes looming, crypto traders are watching policy signals more closely than data. Calm Before the Storm: BTC Holds Ahead of FOMC After Monday’s turbulence, global … Read more
The Fed Chairman delivered a highly personal tribute to Reagan-era economist and statesman George Shultz. Powell’s Tribute to George Shultz Skips Any Mention of the Economy Economists were left disappointed on Monday evening after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell delivered his tribute to late Reagan-era diplomat and economist George Shultz at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution. Markets … Read more
Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim its benchmark. December 25bps Cut Now Dominant Market Bet Ahead of Fed Meeting Prediction platforms are now lighting up with overwhelming confidence in a 25-basis-point … Read more
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran Pushes for Big Fed Rate Cuts Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said Tuesday that the U.S. economy requires “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business … Read more