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Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and likely will continue doing so well into the summer. Key Takeaways: CME Fedwatch puts a Fed hold at 99% for the April 29 FOMC meeting, … Read more
Monetary policy expectations are increasingly tied to a potential Federal Reserve leadership shift, with major implications for liquidity and risk assets. Kraken’s chief economist outlined scenarios that could reshape crypto markets under varying degrees of policy easing. Key Takeaways: Kraken outlines three Fed scenarios that could steer crypto market direction. Warsh-led policy shifts may boost … Read more
Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh disclosed more than $192 million in combined assets through a U.S. Office of Government Ethics filing, revealing a sprawling portfolio that includes crypto investments in Solana, Dydx, Optimism, Polychain Capital, and Dapper Labs, with Warsh pledging to divest certain holdings if confirmed. Key Takeaways: Kevin Warsh’s OGE filing discloses … Read more
Federal Reserve officials risk the worst monetary policy mistake in the central bank’s history by keeping rates elevated as the U.S. economy slips toward recession, according to QI Research CEO Danielle DiMartino Booth. Key Takeaways: QI Research CEO Danielle DiMartino Booth says the Fed risks a historic policy error by holding rates while Q4 GDP … Read more
Gold dropped to $4,623 per ounce this week after the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 178,000 new nonfarm payroll jobs in March 2026, far exceeding consensus estimates and cooling expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Key Takeaways: Gold fell to $4,623.93/oz after March 2026 NFP data showed 178,000 new jobs, well above the … Read more
Markets have priced out every Federal Reserve rate cut for 2026 as a U.S.-Israel war with Iran sends oil past $110 per barrel and consumer gas prices toward $4 a gallon. Key Takeaways: Fed funds futures on CME show a 99.5% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. WTI … Read more
Scrutiny over crypto access to the U.S. payment system intensifies as lawmakers question how Kraken secured Federal Reserve account approval, raising fresh concerns about regulatory consistency, risk controls, and the future of digital asset integration. Lawmaker Presses Fed Over Crypto Account Approval Heightened scrutiny over access to U.S. payment infrastructure is intensifying as policymakers examine … Read more
Markets have sharply repriced Federal Reserve expectations, with near-term rate hike probabilities now edging out cuts for the first time since the easing cycle began. Rate Expectations Shift Sharply as Fed Holds and Markets Reassess The shift, captured by the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank’s Market Probability Tracker, marks a notable turn from early 2026, when … Read more
Markets are leaning heavily toward a Federal Reserve pause following this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, with traders signaling little belief that policymakers will pivot under pressure at the April 29, 2026, meeting. Markets Show Little Faith in Fed Rate Cuts After March While Fed Chair Jerome Powell sits in office, until his … Read more
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady Wednesday, brushing aside public pressure from President Donald Trump and signaling a cautious stance as economic crosscurrents persist. FOMC Holds the Line on Rates The Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep the federal funds rate in a target range of 3.50% to 3.75%, opting for patience despite … Read more