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Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions rattle oil, gold, and equities as UBS projects limited energy disruption and stronger broad commodities gains into 2026, led by metals amid elevated geopolitical risk. UBS Flags Iran Escalation but Forecasts Stronger Broad Commodities Gains Into 2026 UBS Chief Investment Office (CIO) published a daily update titled “US-Iran escalation adds to geopolitical … Read more
U.S. stocks have been mixed on Monday, shaking off early morning losses tied to escalating conflict in the Middle East as investors rotated into energy and defense names while trimming exposure to travel and select tech shares. Stocks Whipsaw as Middle East Conflict Lifts Energy and Defense Shares By noon, the Dow Jones Industrial Average … Read more
Rising Iran conflict risks are jolting global markets, with HSBC warning oil shocks, currency swings, and equity volatility hinge on whether supply routes and production are disrupted, shaping inflation expectations and investor risk appetite worldwide. HSBC: Long-Running Conflict Would Reshape FX, Rates, and Equity Leadership Escalating geopolitical tensions are reshaping the global market outlook. Global … Read more
When Beijing-based historian Jiang Xueqin warned in May 2024 that a second Trump term would lead the United States into war with Iran — and that America would ultimately lose — many dismissed it as academic theater, but two of his three headline predictions have since materialized. Strategic ‘Trap’ Theory Raises Questions About U.S. Military … Read more
JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon said competitive lending and elevated market confidence today resemble patterns seen before the 2008 financial crisis, urging vigilance even as banks operate under stricter rules. Dimon Warns Competitive Lending Could Backfire Speaking at the bank’s annual investor day in New York on Feb. 23, 2026, Dimon drew on … Read more
Citrini Research this week published a provocative essay imagining a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis,” prompting widespread online debate over whether artificial intelligence (AI) could erode the very income base that sustains the modern economy. Citrini Research’s Macro Essay Examines the Economic Consequences of AI Getting Too Good Citrini Research, founded by James Van Geelen, … Read more
While President Trump invoked a new round of tariffs under the authority of Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, analysts and experts say the conditions for invoking them are not met and that the matter is likely to return to the Supreme Court. Analysts: Trump’s New Tariff Regime Might Also Be Considered Illegal … Read more
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the sweeping tariffs levied by President Donald Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were illegal, as the President exceeded the law’s authority. In a dissenting opinion, Justice Kavanaugh stated that refunding these tariffs would be “a mess.” US Supreme Court Rules Trump Had No Authority To … Read more
U.S. equities traded modestly lower late Thursday as rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and cautious Federal Reserve signals tempered momentum from the prior session’s AI-fueled advance. Stocks Ease in Late Trading as Oil Hits Six-Month High As of 3:30 p.m. EST on Feb. 19, just before Wall Street’s close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stood … Read more
Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor told billionaire Ray Dalio to own bitcoin after the billionaire warned the post-World War II global order is breaking down, positioning the cryptocurrency as a shield against mounting geopolitical and financial instability. Dalio Flags Cracks in Global Order; Saylor Points Investors to Bitcoin Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor shared on … Read more