Polymarket’s trading data paints a sobering picture of how profits are distributed across its user base. Among more than 1.7 million total trading addresses, only a minority walk away with gains. The majority do not. On-chain analysis shows that just under 30% of all Polymarket trading addresses have realized profits, while roughly 70% have realized losses. The numbers highlight a familiar pattern seen across speculative markets: participation is broad, but rewards are concentrated. At first glance, the platform appears accessible. Anyone can place a bet, trade outcomes, or express conviction on real-world events. But the realized profit data suggests that
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