interest rates – DIGIT INFO

Polymarket Bettors Set 54% Odds on a Fed Rate Hike This Year After Warsh’s Debut

DIGIT — Wed, 01 Jul 2026 19:19:00 +0000

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh told central bankers in Sintra, Portugal, on July 1 that prices are too high and reaffirmed the Fed’s commitment to a 2% inflation target. At present, prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket place the likelihood of a 2026 rate hike at 53% to 54%. Warsh spoke on a panel alongside European […]

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New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Ditches Rate Signals, Bitcoin Slides as Nasdaq Bounces 1.5%

DIGIT — Thu, 18 Jun 2026 18:40:50 +0000

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh used his debut press conference on June 17 to strip away decades of central bank communication habits, and markets spent the following day sorting out what that means for rates, risk, and bitcoin. Rates Hold, Statement Shrinks The Fed held the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on a […]

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Kevin Warsh’s Fed Holds Firm as Energy Prices Lift Inflation

DIGIT — Wed, 17 Jun 2026 18:33:50 +0000

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday under Chair Kevin Warsh, pairing a historic leadership moment with a blunt reminder that inflation is still running the show. Fed Holds Rates as CPI Reheats The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 12-0 on June 17 to maintain the federal funds rate target range at […]

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Warsh Faces His First Test June 17 as Traders Hunt for Hidden Signals in the Fed’s Dot Plot

DIGIT — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 18:49:41 +0000

Traders on multiple prediction markets are pricing near-certainty that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates unchanged at its June 16–17 meeting, even as a new Fed Chair steps into one of the most scrutinized policy seats in the world. Warsh Takes the Chair Kevin Warsh officially leads the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for […]

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Ontop Uses Opentrade APIs to Turn Idle Payroll Cash Into 3% APR Rewards

DIGIT — Thu, 21 May 2026 06:30:45 +0000

Fintech payroll platform Ontop has partnered with stablecoin yield infrastructure provider Opentrade to launch a platform-wide ~3% APR rewards program for its remote workforce users. Mitigating Risk for Cross-Border Workers Ontop has rolled out a ~3% APR rewards program for its global workforce users after integrating stablecoin yield infrastructure from Opentrade. Under the program, Ontop […]

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Traders Price Zero Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 as New Fed Boss Kevin Warsh Inherits 3.8% Inflation

DIGIT — Wed, 20 May 2026 14:23:31 +0000

Traders have largely abandoned expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with CME Fedwatch data showing 95% to 98% odds of no change at any of the upcoming meetings, and prediction market bettors backing that view for June with tens of millions of dollars. Markets Price Out Every Rate Cut for 2026 The Fed’s […]

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Despite Warsh Replacing Powell at the Fed, Traders See No Rate Cut Coming in June

DIGIT — Mon, 04 May 2026 03:30:29 +0000

Kevin Warsh cleared a Senate Banking Committee vote on April 29 and is expected to chair his first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting June 16-17, 2026, as futures and prediction markets put the odds of a rate hold above 93%. Key Takeaways: Kevin Warsh cleared a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee vote on April 29, […]

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Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.5–3.75%

DIGIT — Wed, 29 Apr 2026 18:06:39 +0000

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, with the Federal Open Market Committee voting to keep the federal funds rate in a target range of 3.5% to 3.75% amid elevated inflation and growing global uncertainty. Key Takeaways: The Fed voted 8–4 on April 29, 2026, to hold the federal funds rate […]

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Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

DIGIT — Sun, 26 Apr 2026 17:10:09 +0000

Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and likely will continue doing so well into the summer. Key Takeaways: CME Fedwatch puts a Fed hold at 99% for the April 29 FOMC meeting, […]

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Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts

DIGIT — Sun, 05 Apr 2026 06:00:41 +0000

Markets have priced out every Federal Reserve rate cut for 2026 as a U.S.-Israel war with Iran sends oil past $110 per barrel and consumer gas prices toward $4 a gallon. Key Takeaways: Fed funds futures on CME show a 99.5% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. WTI […]

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